Scouting Report
William Karlsson holds a +8.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Hayes on offensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). Hayes wins 37.1% vs left-shot opponents — Karlsson shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hayes 43.4% vs Karlsson 46.1% (-8.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Karlsson 68.3%
Defensive zone
Karlsson 93.9%
Neutral zone
Karlsson 79.5%
Result
William Karlsson favored at 72.6%
27.4%
72.6%
Hayes
Karlsson
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
1
(6 meetings)
5
1
Hayes
Karlsson
Last 6: Hayes 5-1 Karlsson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hayes
4
1
Hayes
Karlsson
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Hayes
1
0
Hayes
Karlsson
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hayes
Karlsson
Edge
Even Strength
38.8% (85)
46.5% (744)
-7.7%
Power Play
33.3% (27)
16.7% (18)
+16.6%
On power play, Hayes has a +16.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Karlsson shoots left. Hayes is 37.1% vs left-shot opponents (70).
Hayes shoots right. Karlsson is 44.9% vs right-shot opponents (345).
Home / Away
Hayes
Karlsson
Home
35.7% (56)
44.0% (425)
Away
39.3% (56)
47.1% (486)
By Period
Hayes
Karlsson
P1
35.7%
49.7%
P2
33.3%
41.4%
P3
42.2%
46.7%
Final 5 min
36.4%
47.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hayes
28.0%▼
35.5%
37.5%
Karlsson
64.0%▲
57.5%
45.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 22, 2016 | 3 | 10:21 | Defensive | Jimmy Hayes |
| Feb 22, 2016 | 3 | 01:47 | Offensive | William Karlsson |
| Feb 22, 2016 | 1 | 14:19 | Offensive | Jimmy Hayes |
| Feb 16, 2016 | 3 | 13:00 | Offensive | Jimmy Hayes |
| Feb 16, 2016 | 1 | 14:56 | Offensive | Jimmy Hayes |
| Feb 16, 2016 | 1 | 14:53 | Offensive | Jimmy Hayes |