Mason McTavish vs William Karlsson
2023-24 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
William Karlsson holds a +4.5% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McTavish 51.5% vs Karlsson 55.6% (-4.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Karlsson 85.9%
Defensive zone
Karlsson 83.7%
Neutral zone
Karlsson 68.6%
Result
William Karlsson favored at 78.1%
21.9%
78.1%
McTavish
Karlsson
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
McTavish
Karlsson
Last 5: McTavish 4-1 Karlsson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: McTavish
1
0
McTavish
Karlsson
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: McTavish
2
0
McTavish
Karlsson
2 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
McTavish
Karlsson
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McTavish
Karlsson
Edge
Even Strength
51.3% (725)
56.3% (739)
-5.0%
Power Play
55.8% (113)
58.6% (181)
-2.8%
Penalty Kill
28.6% (7)
47.2% (53)
-18.6%
On penalty kill, Karlsson has a +18.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Karlsson shoots left. McTavish is 51.2% vs left-shot opponents (580).
McTavish shoots left. Karlsson is 57.4% vs left-shot opponents (627).
Home / Away
McTavish
Karlsson
Home
52.0% (454)
56.5% (462)
Away
51.4% (391)
56.0% (511)
By Period
McTavish
Karlsson
P1
51.3%
57.1%
P2
50.4%
55.2%
P3
53.3%
56.7%
OT
50.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
55.7%
54.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McTavish
48.0%▼
51.5%
51.7%
Karlsson
64.0%▲
57.5%
56.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 27, 2023 | 3 | 08:50 | Offensive | Mason McTavish |
| Nov 5, 2023 | 2 | 17:42 | Defensive | Mason McTavish |
| Nov 5, 2023 | 1 | 13:34 | Defensive | Mason McTavish |
| Oct 14, 2023 | 3 | 06:16 | Neutral | William Karlsson |
| Oct 14, 2023 | 2 | 04:50 | Neutral | Mason McTavish |