Scouting Report
Tyler Bozak holds a +3.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Karlsson on offensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Bozak 54.3% vs Karlsson 51.7% (+3.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Bozak 52.6%
Defensive zone
Bozak 54.2%
Neutral zone
Bozak 50.0%
Result
Tyler Bozak favored at 52.8%
52.8%
47.2%
Bozak
Karlsson
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
5
(6 meetings)
1
5
Bozak
Karlsson
Last 6: Bozak 1-5 Karlsson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Karlsson
1
4
Bozak
Karlsson
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Karlsson
0
1
Bozak
Karlsson
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Bozak
Karlsson
Edge
Even Strength
57.3% (483)
52.9% (719)
+4.4%
Power Play
57.5% (73)
53.5% (101)
+4.0%
Penalty Kill
42.3% (104)
45.2% (126)
-2.9%
On even strength, Bozak has a +4.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Karlsson shoots left. Bozak is 52.4% vs left-shot opponents (485).
Bozak shoots right. Karlsson is 58.0% vs right-shot opponents (331).
Home / Away
Bozak
Karlsson
Home
57.8% (332)
54.1% (547)
Away
52.1% (328)
48.9% (399)
By Period
Bozak
Karlsson
P1
52.7%
49.5%
P2
55.6%
53.2%
P3
56.7%
52.3%
OT
50.0%
61.9%
Final 5 min
54.2%
48.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Bozak
46.0%▼
48.5%
55.0%
Karlsson
64.0%▲
57.5%
51.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 12, 2019 | 3 | 14:22 | Offensive | William Karlsson |
| Dec 12, 2019 | 2 | 18:08 | Offensive | William Karlsson |
| Dec 12, 2019 | 2 | 12:19 | Offensive | William Karlsson |
| Dec 12, 2019 | 2 | 00:35 | Offensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Dec 12, 2019 | 1 | 16:49 | Offensive | William Karlsson |
| Dec 12, 2019 | 1 | 13:10 | Defensive | William Karlsson |