Scouting Report
Wyatt Johnston holds a +12.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Johnston on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Kempe wins 23.7% vs right-shot opponents — Johnston shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kempe 41.6% vs Johnston 48.0% (-12.1%)
H2H factor
Johnston leads 7-3 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Kempe 80.5%
Defensive zone
Kempe 64.4%
Neutral zone
Kempe 68.9%
Result
Adrian Kempe favored at 70.1%
70.1%
29.9%
Kempe
Johnston
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
7
(10 meetings)
3
7
Kempe
Johnston
Last 10: Kempe 3-7 Johnston
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Johnston
1
2
Kempe
Johnston
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Johnston
2
3
Kempe
Johnston
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Johnston
0
2
Kempe
Johnston
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kempe
Johnston
Edge
Even Strength
37.9% (103)
47.3% (666)
-9.4%
Power Play
30.6% (36)
50.7% (69)
-20.1%
Penalty Kill
25.0% (4)
51.4% (35)
-26.4%
On penalty kill, Johnston has a +26.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johnston shoots right. Kempe is 23.7% vs right-shot opponents (59).
Kempe shoots left. Johnston is 46.4% vs left-shot opponents (567).
Home / Away
Kempe
Johnston
Home
35.8% (67)
47.5% (364)
Away
35.5% (76)
48.0% (406)
By Period
Kempe
Johnston
P1
36.5%
49.4%
P2
36.7%
46.9%
P3
31.4%
47.1%
OT
42.9%
47.1%
Final 5 min
40.0%
46.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kempe
26.0%▼
35.5%
35.7%
Johnston
40.0%▼
49.0%
47.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 12, 2026 | 3 | 17:59 | Offensive | Wyatt Johnston |
| Jan 12, 2026 | 3 | 03:44 | Defensive | Wyatt Johnston |
| Jan 12, 2026 | 2 | 00:08 | Defensive | Wyatt Johnston |
| Oct 23, 2025 | 3 | 08:49 | Defensive | Adrian Kempe |
| Oct 23, 2025 | 3 | 05:40 | Offensive | Wyatt Johnston |
| Oct 23, 2025 | 3 | 04:03 | Defensive | Adrian Kempe |
| Oct 23, 2025 | 2 | 19:00 | Defensive | Wyatt Johnston |
| Oct 23, 2025 | 2 | 13:40 | Neutral | Wyatt Johnston |
| Oct 23, 2025 | 1 | 07:55 | Neutral | Wyatt Johnston |
| Oct 23, 2025 | 1 | 07:07 | Offensive | Adrian Kempe |