Scouting Report
Boone Jenner holds a +6.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Jenner on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Jenner wins 54.4% vs left-shot opponents — Gourde shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Jenner 51.1% vs Gourde 46.0% (+6.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Jenner 65.2%
Defensive zone
Gourde 64.6%
Neutral zone
Gourde 55.6%
Result
Boone Jenner favored at 51.8%
51.8%
48.2%
Jenner
Gourde
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
3
(6 meetings)
3
3
Jenner
Gourde
Last 6: Jenner 3-3 Gourde
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Jenner
2
1
Jenner
Gourde
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Gourde
0
2
Jenner
Gourde
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Jenner
1
0
Jenner
Gourde
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Jenner
Gourde
Edge
Even Strength
51.3% (265)
47.2% (687)
+4.1%
Power Play
54.2% (24)
45.0% (20)
+9.2%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (20)
33.0% (88)
+17.0%
On penalty kill, Jenner has a +17.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gourde shoots left. Jenner is 54.4% vs left-shot opponents (215).
Jenner shoots left. Gourde is 46.6% vs left-shot opponents (522).
Home / Away
Jenner
Gourde
Home
52.7% (165)
44.4% (356)
Away
50.0% (144)
46.5% (439)
By Period
Jenner
Gourde
P1
49.0%
42.2%
P2
45.0%
50.0%
P3
59.5%
44.5%
Final 5 min
55.4%
50.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Jenner
52.0%▲
48.5%
51.5%
Gourde
48.0%▲
46.0%
45.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 10, 2026 | 3 | 05:15 | Offensive | Yanni Gourde |
| Jan 24, 2026 | 1 | 09:07 | Offensive | Boone Jenner |
| Oct 18, 2025 | 3 | 04:48 | Defensive | Yanni Gourde |
| Oct 18, 2025 | 2 | 15:35 | Offensive | Boone Jenner |
| Oct 18, 2025 | 2 | 08:51 | Neutral | Boone Jenner |
| Oct 18, 2025 | 1 | 12:18 | Defensive | Yanni Gourde |