Scouting Report
Yanni Gourde holds a +9.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Gourde on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Ritchie wins 34.9% vs left-shot opponents — Gourde shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Ritchie 39.8% vs Gourde 46.0% (-9.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Ritchie 83.8%
Defensive zone
Gourde 52.5%
Neutral zone
Ritchie 62.3%
Result
Calum Ritchie favored at 62.2%
62.2%
37.8%
Ritchie
Gourde
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
6
(9 meetings)
3
6
Ritchie
Gourde
Last 9: Ritchie 3-6 Gourde
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Gourde
0
2
Ritchie
Gourde
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Gourde
1
2
Ritchie
Gourde
3 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
Ritchie
Gourde
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Ritchie
Gourde
Edge
Even Strength
36.1% (296)
47.2% (687)
-11.1%
Power Play
45.5% (11)
45.0% (20)
+0.5%
On even strength, Gourde has a +11.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gourde shoots left. Ritchie is 34.9% vs left-shot opponents (195).
Ritchie shoots right. Gourde is 43.8% vs right-shot opponents (272).
Home / Away
Ritchie
Gourde
Home
37.7% (162)
44.4% (356)
Away
35.2% (145)
46.5% (439)
By Period
Ritchie
Gourde
P1
33.3%
42.2%
P2
38.3%
50.0%
P3
37.6%
44.5%
Final 5 min
38.8%
50.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Ritchie
34.0%▲
32.0%
36.5%
Gourde
48.0%▲
46.0%
45.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 13, 2025 | 3 | 08:33 | Defensive | Yanni Gourde |
| Dec 13, 2025 | 2 | 11:26 | Offensive | Yanni Gourde |
| Dec 13, 2025 | 2 | 07:05 | Defensive | Calum Ritchie |
| Dec 13, 2025 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Yanni Gourde |
| Dec 2, 2025 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Calum Ritchie |
| Dec 2, 2025 | 2 | 11:38 | Offensive | Yanni Gourde |
| Dec 2, 2025 | 2 | 07:55 | Defensive | Yanni Gourde |
| Dec 2, 2025 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Yanni Gourde |
| Dec 2, 2025 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Calum Ritchie |