Scouting Report
Mason McTavish holds a +3.5% FO% edge overall. Look for McTavish on neutral-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McTavish 49.1% vs Gourde 46.0% (+3.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
McTavish 84.6%
Defensive zone
Gourde 58.1%
Neutral zone
McTavish 62.0%
Result
Mason McTavish favored at 62.4%
62.4%
37.6%
McTavish
Gourde
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
2
(7 meetings)
5
2
McTavish
Gourde
Last 7: McTavish 5-2 Gourde
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: McTavish
1
0
McTavish
Gourde
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: McTavish
1
0
McTavish
Gourde
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: McTavish
3
2
McTavish
Gourde
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McTavish
Gourde
Edge
Even Strength
47.6% (618)
47.2% (687)
+0.4%
Power Play
58.3% (103)
45.0% (20)
+13.3%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (6)
33.0% (88)
+0.3%
On power play, McTavish has a +13.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gourde shoots left. McTavish is 48.4% vs left-shot opponents (471).
McTavish shoots left. Gourde is 46.6% vs left-shot opponents (522).
Home / Away
McTavish
Gourde
Home
52.2% (391)
44.4% (356)
Away
45.2% (336)
46.5% (439)
By Period
McTavish
Gourde
P1
50.2%
42.2%
P2
47.7%
50.0%
P3
49.2%
44.5%
OT
40.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
45.6%
50.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McTavish
48.0%▲
45.5%
49.0%
Gourde
48.0%▲
46.0%
45.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 31, 2025 | 3 | 10:03 | Offensive | Mason McTavish |
| Dec 31, 2025 | 3 | 08:20 | Neutral | Mason McTavish |
| Dec 31, 2025 | 3 | 08:00 | Neutral | Yanni Gourde |
| Dec 31, 2025 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mason McTavish |
| Dec 31, 2025 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Yanni Gourde |
| Dec 31, 2025 | 1 | 08:56 | Defensive | Mason McTavish |
| Dec 31, 2025 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mason McTavish |