Scouting Report
Zack Ostapchuk holds a +1.2% FO% edge overall. Komarov wins 46.6% vs left-shot opponents — Ostapchuk shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Komarov 47.6% vs Ostapchuk 48.7% (-1.2%)
Offensive zone
Ostapchuk 53.1%
Defensive zone
Komarov 51.6%
Neutral zone
Komarov 56.4%
Result
Leo Komarov favored at 51.7%
51.7%
48.3%
Komarov
Ostapchuk
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Komarov
Ostapchuk
Edge
Even Strength
48.6% (695)
49.1% (632)
-0.5%
Power Play
37.5% (16)
28.6% (7)
+8.9%
Penalty Kill
45.6% (417)
45.5% (66)
+0.1%
On power play, Komarov has a +8.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Ostapchuk shoots left. Komarov is 46.6% vs left-shot opponents (693).
Komarov shoots left. Ostapchuk is 48.1% vs left-shot opponents (482).
Home / Away
Komarov
Ostapchuk
Home
49.2% (537)
48.6% (329)
Away
45.7% (591)
48.4% (376)
By Period
Komarov
Ostapchuk
P1
47.6%
48.5%
P2
47.3%
46.4%
P3
47.5%
50.7%
Final 5 min
49.6%
50.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Komarov
46.0%▲
42.0%
47.3%
Ostapchuk
52.0%▲
50.5%
48.5%