Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (48.3% vs 49.1%).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Gaudreau 48.7% vs Smith 49.2% (-0.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Gaudreau 66.1%
Defensive zone
Smith 76.1%
Neutral zone
Smith 52.5%
Result
Zack Smith favored at 50.5%
49.5%
50.5%
Gaudreau
Smith
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
3
(7 meetings)
4
3
Gaudreau
Smith
Last 7: Gaudreau 4-3 Smith
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Gaudreau
2
0
Gaudreau
Smith
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Smith
0
1
Gaudreau
Smith
1 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
Gaudreau
Smith
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Gaudreau
Smith
Edge
Even Strength
48.4% (320)
50.9% (666)
-2.5%
Power Play
33.3% (3)
70.0% (10)
-36.7%
On power play, Smith has a +36.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Smith shoots left. Gaudreau is 49.1% vs left-shot opponents (230).
Gaudreau shoots right. Smith is 40.9% vs right-shot opponents (298).
Home / Away
Gaudreau
Smith
Home
46.4% (151)
50.9% (405)
Away
50.0% (172)
47.5% (415)
By Period
Gaudreau
Smith
P1
45.6%
47.1%
P2
48.0%
49.6%
P3
52.3%
50.4%
Final 5 min
51.5%
48.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Gaudreau
42.0%▼
47.5%
48.3%
Smith
40.0%▼
47.0%
49.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 17, 2018 | 2 | 16:10 | Offensive | Frederick Gaudreau |
| Dec 17, 2018 | 2 | 16:07 | Offensive | Frederick Gaudreau |
| Dec 17, 2018 | 1 | 19:53 | Neutral | Zack Smith |
| Dec 17, 2018 | 1 | 19:48 | Neutral | Frederick Gaudreau |
| Dec 17, 2018 | 1 | 05:22 | Neutral | Frederick Gaudreau |
| Dec 11, 2018 | 3 | 11:04 | Defensive | Zack Smith |
| Dec 11, 2018 | 2 | 13:07 | Neutral | Zack Smith |