Scouting Report
Kevin Stenlund holds a +3.4% FO% edge overall. Stenlund wins 56.0% vs left-shot opponents — Smith shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stenlund 53.9% vs Smith 50.6% (+3.4%)
Offensive zone
Smith 67.2%
Defensive zone
Stenlund 69.5%
Neutral zone
Smith 51.2%
Result
Kevin Stenlund favored at 50.4%
50.4%
49.6%
Stenlund
Smith
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stenlund
Smith
Edge
Even Strength
55.3% (2,738)
51.6% (5,265)
+3.7%
Power Play
52.6% (116)
51.2% (342)
+1.4%
Penalty Kill
50.4% (924)
45.3% (985)
+5.1%
On penalty kill, Stenlund has a +5.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Smith shoots left. Stenlund is 56.0% vs left-shot opponents (2,846).
Stenlund shoots right. Smith is 47.8% vs right-shot opponents (2,394).
Home / Away
Stenlund
Smith
Home
54.3% (1,873)
52.5% (3,289)
Away
53.8% (1,905)
48.7% (3,310)
By Period
Stenlund
Smith
P1
56.2%
49.9%
P2
53.3%
50.0%
P3
53.0%
51.9%
OT
52.9%
51.6%
Final 5 min
53.4%
52.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stenlund
56.0%▼
59.0%
54.0%
Smith
40.0%▼
47.0%
50.6%