Scouting Report
Michael Chaput holds a +1.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Smith on defensive-zone draws (83% H2H, 6 meetings). Chaput wins 53.9% vs left-shot opponents — Smith shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Chaput 51.5% vs Smith 50.6% (+1.0%)
H2H factor
Smith leads 10-9 in 19 meetings
Offensive zone
Chaput 50.6%
Defensive zone
Smith 50.5%
Neutral zone
Chaput 52.7%
Result
Michael Chaput favored at 51.1%
51.1%
48.9%
Chaput
Smith
Head-to-Head Record
9
-
10
(19 meetings)
9
10
Chaput
Smith
Last 10: Chaput 5-5 Smith
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Chaput
4
1
Chaput
Smith
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Smith
1
5
Chaput
Smith
6 total
Neutral Zone
Even
4
4
Chaput
Smith
8 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Chaput
Smith
Edge
Even Strength
52.2% (1,168)
51.6% (5,265)
+0.6%
Power Play
42.9% (14)
51.2% (342)
-8.3%
Penalty Kill
42.9% (70)
45.3% (985)
-2.4%
On power play, Smith has a +8.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Smith shoots left. Chaput is 53.9% vs left-shot opponents (804).
Chaput shoots left. Smith is 52.2% vs left-shot opponents (4,205).
Home / Away
Chaput
Smith
Home
53.5% (602)
52.5% (3,289)
Away
49.8% (650)
48.7% (3,310)
By Period
Chaput
Smith
P1
48.6%
49.9%
P2
51.6%
50.0%
P3
54.5%
51.9%
Final 5 min
52.6%
52.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Chaput
56.0%▲
46.5%
51.6%
Smith
40.0%▼
47.0%
50.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 15, 2018 | 3 | 13:37 | Neutral | Zack Smith |
| Dec 15, 2018 | 3 | 06:48 | Offensive | Michael Chaput |
| Dec 15, 2018 | 2 | 06:28 | Defensive | Zack Smith |
| Dec 15, 2018 | 2 | 06:23 | Offensive | Michael Chaput |
| Dec 15, 2018 | 2 | 02:51 | Defensive | Zack Smith |
| Dec 15, 2018 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Zack Smith |
| Dec 15, 2018 | 1 | 13:16 | Defensive | Michael Chaput |
| Dec 15, 2018 | 1 | 10:37 | Offensive | Michael Chaput |
| Dec 15, 2018 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Michael Chaput |
| Dec 4, 2018 | 2 | 17:29 | Neutral | Zack Smith |
| Dec 4, 2018 | 2 | 14:38 | Neutral | Michael Chaput |
| Dec 4, 2018 | 2 | 10:15 | Defensive | Zack Smith |
| Dec 4, 2018 | 1 | 08:09 | Offensive | Michael Chaput |
| Dec 4, 2018 | 1 | 03:26 | Neutral | Zack Smith |
| Oct 18, 2014 | 2 | 02:42 | Neutral | Michael Chaput |
| Nov 5, 2013 | 3 | 19:50 | Defensive | Zack Smith |
| Nov 5, 2013 | 3 | 19:42 | Neutral | Michael Chaput |
| Nov 5, 2013 | 3 | 07:34 | Offensive | Zack Smith |
| Nov 5, 2013 | 3 | 03:27 | Defensive | Zack Smith |