Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (58.7% vs 58.9%). Look for Konopka on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Pavelski wins 56.7% vs left-shot opponents — Konopka shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Pavelski 57.8% vs Konopka 57.1% (-0.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Pavelski 66.8%
Defensive zone
Konopka 67.6%
Neutral zone
Pavelski 51.5%
Result
Zenon Konopka favored at 52.9%
47.1%
52.9%
Pavelski
Konopka
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
Pavelski
Konopka
Last 6: Pavelski 2-4 Konopka
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Pavelski
Konopka
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Konopka
0
3
Pavelski
Konopka
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Pavelski
1
0
Pavelski
Konopka
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Pavelski
Konopka
Edge
Even Strength
57.8% (569)
62.0% (271)
-4.2%
Power Play
60.2% (161)
50.0% (14)
+10.2%
Penalty Kill
59.5% (121)
51.4% (107)
+8.1%
On power play, Pavelski has a +10.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Konopka shoots left. Pavelski is 56.7% vs left-shot opponents (681).
Pavelski shoots right. Konopka is 59.6% vs right-shot opponents (156).
Home / Away
Pavelski
Konopka
Home
61.0% (403)
63.2% (155)
Away
56.6% (461)
56.1% (239)
By Period
Pavelski
Konopka
P1
62.9%
59.3%
P2
56.6%
59.8%
P3
57.1%
58.9%
OT
57.9%
0.0%
Final 5 min
53.6%
60.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Pavelski
62.0%▲
52.0%
58.7%
Konopka
60.0%▲
54.5%
58.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 19, 2012 | 3 | 11:39 | Defensive | Zenon Konopka |
| Jan 19, 2012 | 3 | 06:06 | Offensive | Zenon Konopka |
| Jan 19, 2012 | 3 | 03:55 | Defensive | Zenon Konopka |
| Jan 19, 2012 | 2 | 12:34 | Neutral | Joe Pavelski |
| Jan 19, 2012 | 2 | 07:01 | Offensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Jan 19, 2012 | 2 | 05:14 | Defensive | Zenon Konopka |