Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (51.3% vs 50.7%).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Gagnon 50.8% vs Madden 50.6% (+0.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Gagnon 65.0%
Defensive zone
Madden 62.1%
Neutral zone
Gagnon 53.2%
Result
Aaron Gagnon favored at 54.9%
54.9%
45.1%
Gagnon
Madden
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Gagnon
Madden
Last 5: Gagnon 1-4 Madden
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Gagnon
Madden
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Madden
0
1
Gagnon
Madden
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Madden
0
2
Gagnon
Madden
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Gagnon
Madden
Edge
Even Strength
51.8% (141)
51.2% (1,083)
+0.6%
Power Play
66.7% (3)
51.5% (33)
+15.2%
Penalty Kill
37.5% (8)
47.6% (164)
-10.1%
On power play, Gagnon has a +15.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Madden shoots left. Gagnon is 51.4% vs left-shot opponents (105).
Gagnon shoots right. Madden is 49.9% vs right-shot opponents (429).
Home / Away
Gagnon
Madden
Home
58.6% (70)
52.7% (678)
Away
45.1% (82)
48.5% (623)
By Period
Gagnon
Madden
P1
52.8%
51.5%
P2
61.8%
52.5%
P3
36.4%
47.6%
Final 5 min
48.3%
50.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Gagnon
52.0%▬
51.3%
51.3%
Madden
54.0%▲
50.0%
50.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 3, 2012 | 3 | 11:07 | Offensive | Aaron Gagnon |
| Feb 3, 2012 | 3 | 07:26 | Neutral | John Madden |
| Feb 3, 2012 | 3 | 04:51 | Defensive | John Madden |
| Feb 3, 2012 | 1 | 07:11 | Neutral | John Madden |
| Feb 3, 2012 | 1 | 02:15 | Offensive | John Madden |