Scouting Report
Aatu Raty holds a +7.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Lowry on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 6 meetings). Raty wins 60.0% vs left-shot opponents — Lowry shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Raty 59.4% vs Lowry 53.5% (+7.0%)
H2H factor
Lowry leads 7-3 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Lowry 76.3%
Defensive zone
Lowry 72.5%
Neutral zone
Lowry 72.1%
Result
Adam Lowry favored at 74.8%
25.2%
74.8%
Raty
Lowry
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
7
(10 meetings)
3
7
Raty
Lowry
Last 10: Raty 3-7 Lowry
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Lowry
2
4
Raty
Lowry
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lowry
1
3
Raty
Lowry
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Raty
Lowry
Edge
Even Strength
60.0% (505)
55.7% (707)
+4.3%
Power Play
72.7% (22)
85.7% (7)
-13.0%
Penalty Kill
62.6% (99)
39.0% (100)
+23.6%
On penalty kill, Raty has a +23.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Lowry shoots left. Raty is 60.0% vs left-shot opponents (435).
Raty shoots left. Lowry is 50.8% vs left-shot opponents (561).
Home / Away
Raty
Lowry
Home
60.2% (354)
54.3% (429)
Away
61.8% (272)
53.5% (385)
By Period
Raty
Lowry
P1
55.7%
53.1%
P2
67.1%
55.2%
P3
59.0%
54.4%
OT
50.0%
40.0%
Final 5 min
61.3%
57.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Raty
56.0%▼
62.5%
60.9%
Lowry
52.0%▼
53.5%
53.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 7, 2026 | 3 | 11:58 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Mar 7, 2026 | 2 | 18:51 | Offensive | Adam Lowry |
| Mar 7, 2026 | 2 | 15:17 | Offensive | Adam Lowry |
| Mar 7, 2026 | 2 | 07:47 | Offensive | Aatu Raty |
| Mar 7, 2026 | 1 | 18:45 | Offensive | Adam Lowry |
| Mar 7, 2026 | 1 | 08:55 | Offensive | Adam Lowry |
| Mar 7, 2026 | 1 | 08:47 | Defensive | Aatu Raty |
| Nov 11, 2025 | 3 | 09:45 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Nov 11, 2025 | 2 | 07:00 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Nov 11, 2025 | 1 | 17:39 | Offensive | Aatu Raty |