Scouting Report
Aatu Raty holds a +7.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Lowry on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 6 meetings). Raty wins 59.2% vs left-shot opponents — Lowry shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Raty 58.4% vs Lowry 51.6% (+7.6%)
H2H factor
Lowry leads 7-3 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Lowry 61.5%
Defensive zone
Lowry 78.7%
Neutral zone
Lowry 69.1%
Result
Adam Lowry favored at 68.4%
31.6%
68.4%
Raty
Lowry
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
7
(10 meetings)
3
7
Raty
Lowry
Last 10: Raty 3-7 Lowry
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Lowry
2
4
Raty
Lowry
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lowry
1
3
Raty
Lowry
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Raty
Lowry
Edge
Even Strength
58.3% (893)
52.9% (9,162)
+5.4%
Power Play
71.1% (38)
57.2% (456)
+13.9%
Penalty Kill
62.2% (111)
44.8% (2,150)
+17.4%
On penalty kill, Raty has a +17.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Lowry shoots left. Raty is 59.2% vs left-shot opponents (692).
Raty shoots left. Lowry is 51.2% vs left-shot opponents (7,758).
Home / Away
Raty
Lowry
Home
58.9% (569)
53.5% (5,920)
Away
59.6% (473)
49.6% (5,848)
By Period
Raty
Lowry
P1
58.8%
51.6%
P2
62.7%
51.7%
P3
56.4%
51.5%
OT
53.3%
46.3%
Final 5 min
61.8%
52.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Raty
56.0%▼
62.5%
59.2%
Lowry
52.0%▼
53.5%
51.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 7, 2026 | 3 | 11:58 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Mar 7, 2026 | 2 | 18:51 | Offensive | Adam Lowry |
| Mar 7, 2026 | 2 | 15:17 | Offensive | Adam Lowry |
| Mar 7, 2026 | 2 | 07:47 | Offensive | Aatu Raty |
| Mar 7, 2026 | 1 | 18:45 | Offensive | Adam Lowry |
| Mar 7, 2026 | 1 | 08:55 | Offensive | Adam Lowry |
| Mar 7, 2026 | 1 | 08:47 | Defensive | Aatu Raty |
| Nov 11, 2025 | 3 | 09:45 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Nov 11, 2025 | 2 | 07:00 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Nov 11, 2025 | 1 | 17:39 | Offensive | Aatu Raty |