Scouting Report
Aatu Raty holds a +8.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Raty on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Raty wins 60.0% vs left-shot opponents — Stephenson shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Raty 59.4% vs Stephenson 52.0% (+8.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Raty 68.6%
Defensive zone
Raty 81.2%
Neutral zone
Raty 80.9%
Result
Aatu Raty favored at 77.5%
77.5%
22.5%
Raty
Stephenson
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
2
(7 meetings)
5
2
Raty
Stephenson
Last 7: Raty 5-2 Stephenson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Raty
Stephenson
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Raty
4
0
Raty
Stephenson
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Stephenson
0
1
Raty
Stephenson
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Raty
Stephenson
Edge
Even Strength
60.0% (505)
52.0% (867)
+8.0%
Power Play
72.7% (22)
62.1% (248)
+10.6%
Penalty Kill
62.6% (99)
39.5% (185)
+23.1%
On penalty kill, Raty has a +23.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stephenson shoots left. Raty is 60.0% vs left-shot opponents (435).
Raty shoots left. Stephenson is 50.8% vs left-shot opponents (797).
Home / Away
Raty
Stephenson
Home
60.2% (354)
53.1% (672)
Away
61.8% (272)
51.1% (628)
By Period
Raty
Stephenson
P1
55.7%
54.2%
P2
67.1%
50.7%
P3
59.0%
52.0%
OT
50.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
61.3%
52.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Raty
56.0%▼
62.5%
60.9%
Stephenson
44.0%▼
53.0%
52.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 14, 2026 | 3 | 12:31 | Defensive | Aatu Raty |
| Jan 2, 2026 | 2 | 10:15 | Offensive | Aatu Raty |
| Jan 2, 2026 | 1 | 12:11 | Offensive | Chandler Stephenson |
| Dec 29, 2025 | OT | 04:29 | Defensive | Aatu Raty |
| Dec 29, 2025 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Chandler Stephenson |
| Dec 29, 2025 | 3 | 05:27 | Defensive | Aatu Raty |
| Dec 29, 2025 | 1 | 09:51 | Defensive | Aatu Raty |