Scouting Report
Aatu Raty holds a +9.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Raty on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Raty wins 60.3% vs left-shot opponents — Stephenson shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Raty 59.9% vs Stephenson 52.0% (+9.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Raty 71.0%
Defensive zone
Raty 83.7%
Neutral zone
Raty 82.6%
Result
Aatu Raty favored at 79.9%
79.9%
20.1%
Raty
Stephenson
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
2
(7 meetings)
5
2
Raty
Stephenson
Last 7: Raty 5-2 Stephenson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Raty
Stephenson
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Raty
4
0
Raty
Stephenson
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Stephenson
0
1
Raty
Stephenson
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Raty
Stephenson
Edge
Even Strength
60.5% (517)
52.0% (867)
+8.5%
Power Play
72.7% (22)
62.1% (248)
+10.6%
Penalty Kill
63.4% (101)
39.5% (185)
+23.9%
On penalty kill, Raty has a +23.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stephenson shoots left. Raty is 60.3% vs left-shot opponents (441).
Raty shoots left. Stephenson is 50.8% vs left-shot opponents (797).
Home / Away
Raty
Stephenson
Home
60.2% (354)
53.1% (672)
Away
62.9% (286)
51.1% (628)
By Period
Raty
Stephenson
P1
56.9%
54.2%
P2
67.1%
50.7%
P3
59.5%
52.0%
OT
50.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
61.0%
52.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Raty
62.0%▼
64.5%
61.4%
Stephenson
44.0%▼
53.0%
52.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 14, 2026 | 3 | 12:31 | Defensive | Aatu Raty |
| Jan 2, 2026 | 2 | 10:15 | Offensive | Aatu Raty |
| Jan 2, 2026 | 1 | 12:11 | Offensive | Chandler Stephenson |
| Dec 29, 2025 | OT | 04:29 | Defensive | Aatu Raty |
| Dec 29, 2025 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Chandler Stephenson |
| Dec 29, 2025 | 3 | 05:27 | Defensive | Aatu Raty |
| Dec 29, 2025 | 1 | 09:51 | Defensive | Aatu Raty |