Scouting Report
Aatu Raty holds a +10.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Coyle on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Raty wins 59.4% vs right-shot opponents — Coyle shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Raty 58.7% vs Coyle 48.8% (+10.8%)
H2H factor
Coyle leads 8-8 in 16 meetings
Offensive zone
Coyle 56.0%
Defensive zone
Coyle 52.8%
Neutral zone
Coyle 57.1%
Result
Charlie Coyle favored at 54.9%
45.1%
54.9%
Raty
Coyle
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
8
(16 meetings)
8
8
Raty
Coyle
Last 10: Raty 3-7 Coyle
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Raty
3
2
Raty
Coyle
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Raty
4
3
Raty
Coyle
7 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Coyle
1
3
Raty
Coyle
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Raty
Coyle
Edge
Even Strength
58.7% (905)
49.4% (7,898)
+9.3%
Power Play
71.1% (38)
50.0% (794)
+21.1%
Penalty Kill
62.8% (113)
43.5% (1,100)
+19.3%
On power play, Raty has a +21.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Coyle shoots right. Raty is 59.4% vs right-shot opponents (345).
Raty shoots left. Coyle is 48.0% vs left-shot opponents (7,015).
Home / Away
Raty
Coyle
Home
58.9% (569)
49.8% (4,865)
Away
60.4% (487)
47.9% (4,927)
By Period
Raty
Coyle
P1
59.5%
49.5%
P2
62.8%
48.3%
P3
56.7%
48.8%
OT
53.3%
49.0%
Final 5 min
61.6%
48.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Raty
62.0%▼
64.5%
59.6%
Coyle
50.0%▼
51.5%
48.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 15, 2026 | 2 | 11:12 | Offensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Nov 8, 2025 | 3 | 01:42 | Defensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Nov 8, 2025 | 2 | 00:16 | Offensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Nov 8, 2025 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Charlie Coyle |
| Nov 8, 2025 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Charlie Coyle |
| Nov 26, 2024 | 2 | 18:30 | Defensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Nov 26, 2024 | 2 | 10:51 | Defensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Nov 26, 2024 | 2 | 08:34 | Offensive | Aatu Raty |
| Feb 25, 2023 | 3 | 19:12 | Neutral | Aatu Raty |
| Feb 25, 2023 | 3 | 02:04 | Offensive | Aatu Raty |
| Feb 25, 2023 | 1 | 08:38 | Offensive | Aatu Raty |