Scouting Report
Aatu Raty holds a +15.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Raty on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Raty wins 62.4% vs right-shot opponents — Bedard shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Raty 59.4% vs Bedard 46.5% (+15.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Raty 65.0%
Defensive zone
Raty 90.2%
Neutral zone
Raty 86.8%
Result
Aatu Raty favored at 82.0%
82.0%
18.0%
Raty
Bedard
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
2
(7 meetings)
5
2
Raty
Bedard
Last 7: Raty 5-2 Bedard
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Raty
Bedard
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Raty
3
0
Raty
Bedard
3 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Raty
Bedard
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Raty
Bedard
Edge
Even Strength
60.0% (505)
44.2% (505)
+15.8%
Power Play
72.7% (22)
66.7% (36)
+6.0%
Penalty Kill
62.6% (99)
53.8% (13)
+8.8%
On even strength, Raty has a +15.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bedard shoots right. Raty is 62.4% vs right-shot opponents (178).
Raty shoots left. Bedard is 46.2% vs left-shot opponents (390).
Home / Away
Raty
Bedard
Home
60.2% (354)
50.7% (223)
Away
61.8% (272)
42.6% (331)
By Period
Raty
Bedard
P1
55.7%
40.2%
P2
67.1%
49.2%
P3
59.0%
47.2%
OT
50.0%
57.1%
Final 5 min
61.3%
45.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Raty
56.0%▼
62.5%
60.9%
Bedard
44.0%▬
45.0%
45.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 6, 2026 | 3 | 13:38 | Offensive | Connor Bedard |
| Mar 6, 2026 | 3 | 10:57 | Defensive | Aatu Raty |
| Mar 6, 2026 | 2 | 19:17 | Neutral | Connor Bedard |
| Mar 6, 2026 | 2 | 07:53 | Neutral | Aatu Raty |
| Mar 6, 2026 | 2 | 03:19 | Defensive | Aatu Raty |
| Mar 6, 2026 | 1 | 05:47 | Defensive | Aatu Raty |
| Nov 5, 2025 | 2 | 07:52 | Offensive | Aatu Raty |