Scouting Report
Aatu Raty holds a +18.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Raty on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Raty wins 59.4% vs right-shot opponents — Bedard shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Raty 58.7% vs Bedard 41.4% (+18.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Raty 90.1%
Defensive zone
Raty 93.5%
Neutral zone
Raty 91.6%
Result
Aatu Raty favored at 91.7%
91.7%
8.3%
Raty
Bedard
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
2
(8 meetings)
6
2
Raty
Bedard
Last 8: Raty 6-2 Bedard
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Raty
2
1
Raty
Bedard
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Raty
3
0
Raty
Bedard
3 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Raty
Bedard
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Raty
Bedard
Edge
Even Strength
58.7% (905)
40.2% (1,635)
+18.5%
Power Play
71.1% (38)
51.8% (83)
+19.3%
Penalty Kill
62.8% (113)
50.0% (24)
+12.8%
On power play, Raty has a +19.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bedard shoots right. Raty is 59.4% vs right-shot opponents (345).
Raty shoots left. Bedard is 41.0% vs left-shot opponents (1,259).
Home / Away
Raty
Bedard
Home
58.9% (569)
43.3% (785)
Away
60.4% (487)
38.9% (957)
By Period
Raty
Bedard
P1
59.5%
38.9%
P2
62.8%
41.2%
P3
56.7%
42.5%
OT
53.3%
42.9%
Final 5 min
61.6%
44.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Raty
62.0%▼
64.5%
59.6%
Bedard
44.0%▬
45.0%
40.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 6, 2026 | 3 | 13:38 | Offensive | Connor Bedard |
| Mar 6, 2026 | 3 | 10:57 | Defensive | Aatu Raty |
| Mar 6, 2026 | 2 | 19:17 | Neutral | Connor Bedard |
| Mar 6, 2026 | 2 | 07:53 | Neutral | Aatu Raty |
| Mar 6, 2026 | 2 | 03:19 | Defensive | Aatu Raty |
| Mar 6, 2026 | 1 | 05:47 | Defensive | Aatu Raty |
| Nov 5, 2025 | 2 | 07:52 | Offensive | Aatu Raty |
| Nov 16, 2024 | 2 | 16:34 | Offensive | Aatu Raty |