Aatu Raty vs Connor McDavid

All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report

Aatu Raty holds a +11.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Raty on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 9 meetings). Raty wins 59.5% vs left-shot opponents — McDavid shoots left.

Prediction Breakdown
Model XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian) Raty 58.7% vs McDavid 47.8% (+11.8%)
H2H factor Raty leads 10-2 in 12 meetings
Offensive zone Raty 68.9%
Defensive zone Raty 94.7%
Neutral zone Raty 88.3%
Result Aatu Raty favored at 88.3%
88.3%
11.7%
Raty McDavid
Head-to-Head Record
10 - 2 (12 meetings)
10
2
Raty McDavid
Last 10: Raty 9-1 McDavid

Zone Breakdown

Offensive Zone
Edge: McDavid
1
2
Raty McDavid
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Raty
9
0
Raty McDavid
9 total

Situation Matchup

Situation
Raty
McDavid
Edge
Even Strength
58.7% (905)
47.7% (8,394)
+11.0%
Power Play
71.1% (38)
52.1% (374)
+19.0%
Penalty Kill
62.8% (113)
43.8% (281)
+19.0%
On penalty kill, Raty has a +19.0% edge.

Handedness & Splits

Handedness
McDavid shoots left. Raty is 59.5% vs left-shot opponents (698).
Raty shoots left. McDavid is 47.6% vs left-shot opponents (5,929).
Home / Away
Raty
McDavid
Home
58.9% (569)
49.3% (4,582)
Away
60.4% (487)
46.2% (4,467)
By Period
Raty
McDavid
P1
59.5%
46.5%
P2
62.8%
48.7%
P3
56.7%
48.3%
OT
53.3%
42.2%
Final 5 min
61.6%
50.0%

Recent Form

Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Raty
62.0%
64.5%
59.6%
McDavid
52.0%
51.5%
47.8%

Recent Faceoffs

Date Period Time Zone Winner
Jan 17, 2026 3 06:29 Defensive Aatu Raty
Jan 17, 2026 2 19:54 Defensive Aatu Raty
Jan 17, 2026 2 06:20 Defensive Aatu Raty
Jan 17, 2026 1 07:59 Defensive Aatu Raty
Oct 26, 2025 3 14:30 Defensive Aatu Raty
Oct 26, 2025 1 19:24 Defensive Aatu Raty
Oct 26, 2025 1 17:22 Defensive Aatu Raty
Oct 11, 2025 2 09:09 Offensive Connor McDavid
Nov 9, 2024 3 16:31 Defensive Aatu Raty
Nov 9, 2024 3 13:34 Defensive Aatu Raty
Nov 9, 2024 2 02:36 Offensive Aatu Raty
Jan 5, 2023 1 02:23 Offensive Connor McDavid