Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (61.4% vs 61.3%). Look for Lazar on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Raty wins 63.4% vs right-shot opponents — Lazar shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Raty 59.9% vs Lazar 58.1% (+0.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Raty 62.6%
Defensive zone
Lazar 54.6%
Neutral zone
Raty 50.5%
Result
Aatu Raty favored at 53.7%
53.7%
46.3%
Raty
Lazar
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
3
(6 meetings)
3
3
Raty
Lazar
Last 6: Raty 3-3 Lazar
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Raty
2
0
Raty
Lazar
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lazar
0
1
Raty
Lazar
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Lazar
1
2
Raty
Lazar
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Raty
Lazar
Edge
Even Strength
60.5% (517)
63.5% (181)
-3.0%
Power Play
72.7% (22)
0.0% (1)
+72.7%
Penalty Kill
63.4% (101)
56.3% (71)
+7.1%
On power play, Raty has a +72.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Lazar shoots right. Raty is 63.4% vs right-shot opponents (186).
Raty shoots left. Lazar is 61.5% vs left-shot opponents (205).
Home / Away
Raty
Lazar
Home
60.2% (354)
63.0% (135)
Away
62.9% (286)
59.3% (118)
By Period
Raty
Lazar
P1
56.9%
64.6%
P2
67.1%
60.0%
P3
59.5%
59.3%
Final 5 min
61.0%
67.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Raty
62.0%▼
64.5%
61.4%
Lazar
72.0%▲
63.0%
61.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 17, 2026 | 2 | 15:08 | Neutral | Aatu Raty |
| Jan 17, 2026 | 2 | 11:42 | Neutral | Curtis Lazar |
| Jan 17, 2026 | 2 | 02:11 | Defensive | Curtis Lazar |
| Jan 17, 2026 | 1 | 10:59 | Offensive | Aatu Raty |
| Oct 26, 2025 | 3 | 06:34 | Offensive | Aatu Raty |
| Oct 26, 2025 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Curtis Lazar |