Scouting Report
Aatu Raty holds a +5.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Raty on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Raty wins 58.8% vs right-shot opponents — Lindholm shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Raty 58.4% vs Lindholm 53.9% (+5.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Lindholm 58.9%
Defensive zone
Raty 75.5%
Neutral zone
Raty 61.8%
Result
Aatu Raty favored at 67.5%
67.5%
32.5%
Raty
Lindholm
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
1
(6 meetings)
5
1
Raty
Lindholm
Last 6: Raty 5-1 Lindholm
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Lindholm
0
1
Raty
Lindholm
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Raty
4
0
Raty
Lindholm
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Raty
1
0
Raty
Lindholm
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Raty
Lindholm
Edge
Even Strength
58.3% (893)
53.8% (8,549)
+4.5%
Power Play
71.1% (38)
59.4% (1,745)
+11.7%
Penalty Kill
62.2% (111)
48.3% (1,619)
+13.9%
On penalty kill, Raty has a +13.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Lindholm shoots right. Raty is 58.8% vs right-shot opponents (337).
Raty shoots left. Lindholm is 54.9% vs left-shot opponents (9,165).
Home / Away
Raty
Lindholm
Home
58.9% (569)
54.2% (5,980)
Away
59.6% (473)
53.6% (5,933)
By Period
Raty
Lindholm
P1
58.8%
54.2%
P2
62.7%
54.5%
P3
56.4%
53.0%
OT
53.3%
53.6%
Final 5 min
61.8%
52.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Raty
56.0%▼
62.5%
59.2%
Lindholm
64.0%▲
60.5%
53.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 3, 2026 | 3 | 13:03 | Offensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Dec 20, 2025 | 3 | 14:48 | Defensive | Aatu Raty |
| Dec 20, 2025 | 2 | 04:22 | Neutral | Aatu Raty |
| Dec 20, 2025 | 1 | 01:12 | Defensive | Aatu Raty |
| Nov 26, 2024 | 3 | 06:15 | Defensive | Aatu Raty |
| Nov 26, 2024 | 2 | 13:50 | Defensive | Aatu Raty |