Scouting Report
Aatu Raty holds a +13.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Malkin on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Raty wins 59.5% vs left-shot opponents — Malkin shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Raty 58.7% vs Malkin 45.9% (+13.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Malkin 72.8%
Defensive zone
Raty 83.0%
Neutral zone
Malkin 50.1%
Result
Evgeni Malkin favored at 57.3%
42.7%
57.3%
Raty
Malkin
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
4
(8 meetings)
4
4
Raty
Malkin
Last 8: Raty 4-4 Malkin
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
2
2
Raty
Malkin
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Raty
1
0
Raty
Malkin
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Malkin
1
2
Raty
Malkin
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Raty
Malkin
Edge
Even Strength
58.7% (905)
45.6% (10,081)
+13.1%
Power Play
71.1% (38)
50.1% (668)
+21.0%
Penalty Kill
62.8% (113)
32.2% (59)
+30.6%
On penalty kill, Raty has a +30.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Malkin shoots left. Raty is 59.5% vs left-shot opponents (698).
Raty shoots left. Malkin is 47.2% vs left-shot opponents (7,274).
Home / Away
Raty
Malkin
Home
58.9% (569)
47.6% (5,395)
Away
60.4% (487)
44.0% (5,436)
By Period
Raty
Malkin
P1
59.5%
45.9%
P2
62.8%
46.2%
P3
56.7%
45.2%
OT
53.3%
49.0%
Final 5 min
61.6%
46.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Raty
62.0%▼
64.5%
59.6%
Malkin
36.0%▼
46.0%
45.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 21, 2025 | 2 | 08:26 | Defensive | Aatu Raty |
| Oct 21, 2025 | 2 | 00:42 | Offensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Oct 21, 2025 | 1 | 16:16 | Offensive | Aatu Raty |
| Nov 27, 2024 | 3 | 05:05 | Offensive | Aatu Raty |
| Nov 27, 2024 | 3 | 04:59 | Neutral | Evgeni Malkin |
| Nov 27, 2024 | 2 | 03:40 | Neutral | Aatu Raty |
| Nov 27, 2024 | 1 | 18:37 | Offensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Nov 27, 2024 | 1 | 13:15 | Neutral | Evgeni Malkin |