Aatu Raty vs Frederick Gaudreau
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Aatu Raty holds a +10.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Raty on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Raty wins 58.8% vs right-shot opponents — Gaudreau shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Raty 58.4% vs Gaudreau 48.6% (+10.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Raty 73.4%
Defensive zone
Raty 55.6%
Neutral zone
Raty 61.9%
Result
Aatu Raty favored at 60.4%
60.4%
39.6%
Raty
Gaudreau
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
4
(9 meetings)
5
4
Raty
Gaudreau
Last 5: Raty 2-3 Gaudreau
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Raty
1
0
Raty
Gaudreau
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Raty
3
1
Raty
Gaudreau
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Gaudreau
1
3
Raty
Gaudreau
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Raty
Gaudreau
Edge
Even Strength
58.3% (893)
48.6% (3,770)
+9.7%
Power Play
71.1% (38)
53.9% (219)
+17.2%
Penalty Kill
62.2% (111)
46.7% (793)
+15.5%
On power play, Raty has a +17.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gaudreau shoots right. Raty is 58.8% vs right-shot opponents (337).
Raty shoots left. Gaudreau is 48.8% vs left-shot opponents (3,499).
Home / Away
Raty
Gaudreau
Home
58.9% (569)
49.2% (2,437)
Away
59.6% (473)
47.8% (2,345)
By Period
Raty
Gaudreau
P1
58.8%
49.7%
P2
62.7%
47.3%
P3
56.4%
49.1%
OT
53.3%
35.5%
Final 5 min
61.8%
47.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Raty
56.0%▼
62.5%
59.2%
Gaudreau
40.0%▼
42.5%
48.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 14, 2026 | 3 | 09:09 | Defensive | Frederick Gaudreau |
| Mar 14, 2026 | 3 | 02:11 | Neutral | Frederick Gaudreau |
| Mar 14, 2026 | 1 | 19:52 | Neutral | Aatu Raty |
| Dec 29, 2025 | 3 | 15:28 | Offensive | Aatu Raty |
| Dec 29, 2025 | 2 | 05:23 | Neutral | Frederick Gaudreau |