Scouting Report
Aatu Raty holds a +10.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Raty on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Raty wins 60.3% vs left-shot opponents — Harkins shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Raty 59.9% vs Harkins 50.9% (+10.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Raty 63.4%
Defensive zone
Raty 91.5%
Neutral zone
Raty 79.3%
Result
Aatu Raty favored at 78.2%
78.2%
21.8%
Raty
Harkins
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
2
(7 meetings)
5
2
Raty
Harkins
Last 7: Raty 5-2 Harkins
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Raty
Harkins
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Raty
2
0
Raty
Harkins
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Raty
2
1
Raty
Harkins
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Raty
Harkins
Edge
Even Strength
60.5% (517)
49.7% (173)
+10.8%
Power Play
72.7% (22)
77.8% (9)
-5.1%
Penalty Kill
63.4% (101)
66.7% (3)
-3.3%
On even strength, Raty has a +10.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Harkins shoots left. Raty is 60.3% vs left-shot opponents (441).
Raty shoots left. Harkins is 48.2% vs left-shot opponents (114).
Home / Away
Raty
Harkins
Home
60.2% (354)
55.3% (85)
Away
62.9% (286)
48.0% (100)
By Period
Raty
Harkins
P1
56.9%
71.4%
P2
67.1%
41.8%
P3
59.5%
43.5%
Final 5 min
61.0%
51.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Raty
62.0%▼
64.5%
61.4%
Harkins
48.0%▼
50.5%
51.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 29, 2026 | 3 | 11:10 | Neutral | Aatu Raty |
| Jan 29, 2026 | 3 | 05:56 | Defensive | Aatu Raty |
| Jan 29, 2026 | 2 | 02:11 | Offensive | Aatu Raty |
| Jan 29, 2026 | 2 | 01:59 | Defensive | Aatu Raty |
| Jan 29, 2026 | 1 | 08:01 | Neutral | Jansen Harkins |
| Nov 26, 2025 | 1 | 11:47 | Neutral | Aatu Raty |
| Nov 26, 2025 | 1 | 05:00 | Offensive | Jansen Harkins |