Scouting Report
Aatu Raty holds a +6.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Raty on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Raty wins 59.5% vs left-shot opponents — Harkins shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Raty 58.7% vs Harkins 52.4% (+6.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Raty 85.8%
Defensive zone
Raty 84.7%
Neutral zone
Raty 72.0%
Result
Aatu Raty favored at 79.6%
79.6%
20.4%
Raty
Harkins
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
2
(7 meetings)
5
2
Raty
Harkins
Last 7: Raty 5-2 Harkins
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Raty
Harkins
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Raty
2
0
Raty
Harkins
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Raty
2
1
Raty
Harkins
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Raty
Harkins
Edge
Even Strength
58.7% (905)
51.1% (403)
+7.6%
Power Play
71.1% (38)
80.0% (10)
-8.9%
Penalty Kill
62.8% (113)
59.4% (69)
+3.4%
On power play, Harkins has a +8.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Harkins shoots left. Raty is 59.5% vs left-shot opponents (698).
Raty shoots left. Harkins is 50.6% vs left-shot opponents (316).
Home / Away
Raty
Harkins
Home
58.9% (569)
55.7% (244)
Away
60.4% (487)
50.0% (238)
By Period
Raty
Harkins
P1
59.5%
60.8%
P2
62.8%
45.1%
P3
56.7%
53.1%
Final 5 min
61.6%
50.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Raty
62.0%▼
64.5%
59.6%
Harkins
48.0%▼
50.5%
52.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 29, 2026 | 3 | 11:10 | Neutral | Aatu Raty |
| Jan 29, 2026 | 3 | 05:56 | Defensive | Aatu Raty |
| Jan 29, 2026 | 2 | 02:11 | Offensive | Aatu Raty |
| Jan 29, 2026 | 2 | 01:59 | Defensive | Aatu Raty |
| Jan 29, 2026 | 1 | 08:01 | Neutral | Jansen Harkins |
| Nov 26, 2025 | 1 | 11:47 | Neutral | Aatu Raty |
| Nov 26, 2025 | 1 | 05:00 | Offensive | Jansen Harkins |