Scouting Report
Aatu Raty holds a +1.3% FO% edge overall. Raty wins 59.2% vs left-shot opponents — Toews shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Raty 58.4% vs Toews 57.9% (+1.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Toews 66.2%
Defensive zone
Raty 69.2%
Neutral zone
Raty 51.8%
Result
Aatu Raty favored at 51.6%
51.6%
48.4%
Raty
Toews
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Raty
Toews
Last 5: Raty 2-3 Toews
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Raty
Toews
2 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Raty
Toews
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Toews
0
1
Raty
Toews
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Raty
Toews
Edge
Even Strength
58.3% (893)
57.2% (13,079)
+1.1%
Power Play
71.1% (38)
63.3% (3,254)
+7.8%
Penalty Kill
62.2% (111)
53.6% (1,810)
+8.6%
On penalty kill, Raty has a +8.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Toews shoots left. Raty is 59.2% vs left-shot opponents (692).
Raty shoots left. Toews is 56.8% vs left-shot opponents (11,675).
Home / Away
Raty
Toews
Home
58.9% (569)
59.7% (9,212)
Away
59.6% (473)
56.1% (8,962)
By Period
Raty
Toews
P1
58.8%
58.6%
P2
62.7%
57.9%
P3
56.4%
57.3%
OT
53.3%
58.9%
Final 5 min
61.8%
58.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Raty
56.0%▼
62.5%
59.2%
Toews
62.0%▼
63.5%
57.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 11, 2025 | 3 | 16:36 | Defensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Nov 11, 2025 | 2 | 11:40 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Nov 11, 2025 | 2 | 01:01 | Defensive | Aatu Raty |
| Nov 11, 2025 | 1 | 11:58 | Neutral | Jonathan Toews |
| Nov 11, 2025 | 1 | 08:51 | Offensive | Aatu Raty |