Scouting Report
Aatu Raty holds a +9.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Raty on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Raty wins 59.4% vs right-shot opponents — Danforth shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Raty 58.7% vs Danforth 49.8% (+9.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Raty 86.1%
Defensive zone
Raty 74.2%
Neutral zone
Raty 72.5%
Result
Aatu Raty favored at 75.2%
75.2%
24.8%
Raty
Danforth
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
2
(7 meetings)
5
2
Raty
Danforth
Last 7: Raty 5-2 Danforth
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Danforth
0
1
Raty
Danforth
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Raty
3
0
Raty
Danforth
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Raty
2
1
Raty
Danforth
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Raty
Danforth
Edge
Even Strength
58.7% (905)
51.8% (1,018)
+6.9%
Power Play
71.1% (38)
50.0% (36)
+21.1%
Penalty Kill
62.8% (113)
40.1% (207)
+22.7%
On penalty kill, Raty has a +22.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Danforth shoots right. Raty is 59.4% vs right-shot opponents (345).
Raty shoots left. Danforth is 51.0% vs left-shot opponents (937).
Home / Away
Raty
Danforth
Home
58.9% (569)
51.4% (619)
Away
60.4% (487)
48.3% (642)
By Period
Raty
Danforth
P1
59.5%
49.1%
P2
62.8%
51.4%
P3
56.7%
48.3%
OT
53.3%
64.3%
Final 5 min
61.6%
52.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Raty
62.0%▼
64.5%
59.6%
Danforth
54.0%▲
51.5%
49.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 28, 2025 | 3 | 19:55 | Offensive | Justin Danforth |
| Mar 28, 2025 | 3 | 07:38 | Defensive | Aatu Raty |
| Mar 28, 2025 | 2 | 15:05 | Defensive | Aatu Raty |
| Mar 28, 2025 | 2 | 08:29 | Defensive | Aatu Raty |
| Dec 6, 2024 | 3 | 19:00 | Neutral | Justin Danforth |
| Dec 6, 2024 | 3 | 18:55 | Neutral | Aatu Raty |
| Dec 6, 2024 | 3 | 02:17 | Neutral | Aatu Raty |