Scouting Report
Aatu Raty holds a +18.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Raty on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 6 meetings). Raty wins 59.4% vs right-shot opponents — Marner shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Raty 58.7% vs Marner 42.7% (+18.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Raty 84.6%
Defensive zone
Raty 97.1%
Neutral zone
Raty 94.6%
Result
Aatu Raty favored at 97.1%
97.1%
2.9%
Raty
Marner
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
0
(6 meetings)
6
0
Raty
Marner
Last 6: Raty 6-0 Marner
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Raty
6
0
Raty
Marner
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Raty
Marner
Edge
Even Strength
58.7% (905)
41.7% (496)
+17.0%
Power Play
71.1% (38)
55.6% (18)
+15.5%
Penalty Kill
62.8% (113)
35.4% (65)
+27.4%
On penalty kill, Raty has a +27.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Marner shoots right. Raty is 59.4% vs right-shot opponents (345).
Raty shoots left. Marner is 39.3% vs left-shot opponents (399).
Home / Away
Raty
Marner
Home
58.9% (569)
38.0% (321)
Away
60.4% (487)
45.7% (258)
By Period
Raty
Marner
P1
59.5%
38.7%
P2
62.8%
41.5%
P3
56.7%
45.5%
OT
53.3%
40.0%
Final 5 min
61.6%
47.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Raty
62.0%▼
64.5%
59.6%
Marner
40.0%▼
41.5%
41.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 30, 2026 | 3 | 06:19 | Defensive | Aatu Raty |
| Mar 30, 2026 | 2 | 06:31 | Defensive | Aatu Raty |
| Mar 30, 2026 | 2 | 06:24 | Defensive | Aatu Raty |
| Mar 30, 2026 | 1 | 14:34 | Defensive | Aatu Raty |
| Mar 30, 2026 | 1 | 11:37 | Defensive | Aatu Raty |
| Feb 4, 2026 | 1 | 18:50 | Defensive | Aatu Raty |