Scouting Report
Aatu Raty holds a +6.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Raty on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Raty wins 60.0% vs left-shot opponents — Paul shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Raty 59.4% vs Paul 53.6% (+6.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Raty 51.6%
Defensive zone
Raty 85.0%
Neutral zone
Raty 78.9%
Result
Aatu Raty favored at 66.8%
66.8%
33.2%
Raty
Paul
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
3
(8 meetings)
5
3
Raty
Paul
Last 8: Raty 5-3 Paul
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Raty
4
0
Raty
Paul
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Paul
0
2
Raty
Paul
2 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Raty
Paul
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Raty
Paul
Edge
Even Strength
60.0% (505)
53.7% (354)
+6.3%
Power Play
72.7% (22)
59.0% (61)
+13.7%
Penalty Kill
62.6% (99)
52.9% (34)
+9.7%
On power play, Raty has a +13.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Paul shoots left. Raty is 60.0% vs left-shot opponents (435).
Raty shoots left. Paul is 54.2% vs left-shot opponents (321).
Home / Away
Raty
Paul
Home
60.2% (354)
55.1% (216)
Away
61.8% (272)
53.6% (233)
By Period
Raty
Paul
P1
55.7%
54.9%
P2
67.1%
54.5%
P3
59.0%
54.3%
OT
50.0%
44.4%
Final 5 min
61.3%
57.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Raty
56.0%▼
62.5%
60.9%
Paul
54.0%▼
56.5%
54.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 19, 2026 | 3 | 11:13 | Neutral | Nick Paul |
| Mar 19, 2026 | 3 | 01:51 | Offensive | Aatu Raty |
| Mar 19, 2026 | 2 | 18:30 | Offensive | Aatu Raty |
| Mar 19, 2026 | 2 | 18:19 | Offensive | Aatu Raty |
| Mar 19, 2026 | 2 | 06:41 | Offensive | Aatu Raty |
| Mar 19, 2026 | 1 | 19:54 | Defensive | Nick Paul |
| Mar 19, 2026 | 1 | 17:37 | Neutral | Aatu Raty |
| Mar 19, 2026 | 1 | 06:01 | Defensive | Nick Paul |