Scouting Report
Aatu Raty holds a +6.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Raty on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings). Raty wins 59.2% vs left-shot opponents — Paul shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Raty 58.4% vs Paul 52.2% (+6.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Raty 73.9%
Defensive zone
Raty 76.1%
Neutral zone
Raty 68.5%
Result
Aatu Raty favored at 73.2%
73.2%
26.8%
Raty
Paul
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
3
(9 meetings)
6
3
Raty
Paul
Last 9: Raty 6-3 Paul
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Raty
5
0
Raty
Paul
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Paul
0
2
Raty
Paul
2 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Raty
Paul
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Raty
Paul
Edge
Even Strength
58.3% (893)
52.6% (3,823)
+5.7%
Power Play
71.1% (38)
56.2% (484)
+14.9%
Penalty Kill
62.2% (111)
46.9% (576)
+15.3%
On penalty kill, Raty has a +15.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Paul shoots left. Raty is 59.2% vs left-shot opponents (692).
Raty shoots left. Paul is 54.6% vs left-shot opponents (3,089).
Home / Away
Raty
Paul
Home
58.9% (569)
52.8% (2,445)
Away
59.6% (473)
51.7% (2,439)
By Period
Raty
Paul
P1
58.8%
53.8%
P2
62.7%
51.0%
P3
56.4%
52.2%
OT
53.3%
50.0%
Final 5 min
61.8%
51.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Raty
56.0%▼
62.5%
59.2%
Paul
54.0%▼
56.5%
52.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 19, 2026 | 3 | 11:13 | Neutral | Nick Paul |
| Mar 19, 2026 | 3 | 01:51 | Offensive | Aatu Raty |
| Mar 19, 2026 | 2 | 18:30 | Offensive | Aatu Raty |
| Mar 19, 2026 | 2 | 18:19 | Offensive | Aatu Raty |
| Mar 19, 2026 | 2 | 06:41 | Offensive | Aatu Raty |
| Mar 19, 2026 | 1 | 19:54 | Defensive | Nick Paul |
| Mar 19, 2026 | 1 | 17:37 | Neutral | Aatu Raty |
| Mar 19, 2026 | 1 | 06:01 | Defensive | Nick Paul |
| Dec 8, 2024 | 2 | 10:47 | Offensive | Aatu Raty |