Scouting Report
Aatu Raty holds a +16.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Raty on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Raty wins 59.4% vs right-shot opponents — Greene shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Raty 58.7% vs Greene 43.7% (+16.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Raty 94.2%
Defensive zone
Raty 90.1%
Neutral zone
Raty 88.6%
Result
Aatu Raty favored at 90.9%
90.9%
9.1%
Raty
Greene
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Raty
Greene
Last 5: Raty 4-1 Greene
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Greene
0
1
Raty
Greene
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Raty
4
0
Raty
Greene
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Raty
Greene
Edge
Even Strength
58.7% (905)
43.2% (530)
+15.5%
Power Play
71.1% (38)
46.8% (62)
+24.3%
Penalty Kill
62.8% (113)
40.1% (167)
+22.7%
On power play, Raty has a +24.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Greene shoots right. Raty is 59.4% vs right-shot opponents (345).
Raty shoots left. Greene is 42.5% vs left-shot opponents (565).
Home / Away
Raty
Greene
Home
58.9% (569)
47.4% (382)
Away
60.4% (487)
38.2% (377)
By Period
Raty
Greene
P1
59.5%
46.1%
P2
62.8%
37.6%
P3
56.7%
45.2%
OT
53.3%
50.0%
Final 5 min
61.6%
41.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Raty
62.0%▼
64.5%
59.6%
Greene
26.0%▼
34.0%
42.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 6, 2026 | 2 | 15:38 | Defensive | Aatu Raty |
| Mar 6, 2026 | 2 | 04:55 | Defensive | Aatu Raty |
| Nov 5, 2025 | 3 | 16:15 | Offensive | Ryan Greene |
| Nov 5, 2025 | 2 | 16:52 | Defensive | Aatu Raty |
| Nov 5, 2025 | 2 | 08:07 | Defensive | Aatu Raty |