Scouting Report
Aatu Raty holds a +5.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Raty on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings). Raty wins 60.0% vs left-shot opponents — O'Reilly shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Raty 59.4% vs O'Reilly 55.0% (+5.5%)
H2H factor
Raty leads 8-4 in 12 meetings
Offensive zone
Raty 51.2%
Defensive zone
Raty 86.8%
Neutral zone
Raty 70.8%
Result
Aatu Raty favored at 67.7%
67.7%
32.3%
Raty
O'Reilly
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
4
(12 meetings)
8
4
Raty
O'Reilly
Last 10: Raty 6-4 O'Reilly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
2
4
Raty
O'Reilly
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Raty
5
0
Raty
O'Reilly
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Raty
1
0
Raty
O'Reilly
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Raty
O'Reilly
Edge
Even Strength
60.0% (505)
55.7% (856)
+4.3%
Power Play
72.7% (22)
57.5% (233)
+15.2%
Penalty Kill
62.6% (99)
50.0% (144)
+12.6%
On power play, Raty has a +15.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
O'Reilly shoots left. Raty is 60.0% vs left-shot opponents (435).
Raty shoots left. O'Reilly is 55.8% vs left-shot opponents (703).
Home / Away
Raty
O'Reilly
Home
60.2% (354)
55.5% (616)
Away
61.8% (272)
55.3% (617)
By Period
Raty
O'Reilly
P1
55.7%
58.1%
P2
67.1%
54.9%
P3
59.0%
53.9%
OT
50.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
61.3%
56.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Raty
56.0%▼
62.5%
60.9%
O'Reilly
54.0%▬
55.0%
55.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 12, 2026 | OT | 02:55 | Defensive | Aatu Raty |
| Mar 12, 2026 | 2 | 16:10 | Defensive | Aatu Raty |
| Mar 12, 2026 | 2 | 15:32 | Defensive | Aatu Raty |
| Mar 12, 2026 | 2 | 10:14 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Mar 12, 2026 | 2 | 08:05 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Nov 3, 2025 | 3 | 18:21 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Nov 3, 2025 | 3 | 15:47 | Defensive | Aatu Raty |
| Nov 3, 2025 | 1 | 14:45 | Neutral | Aatu Raty |
| Oct 23, 2025 | 3 | 19:50 | Offensive | Aatu Raty |
| Oct 23, 2025 | 3 | 10:23 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Oct 23, 2025 | 3 | 07:04 | Offensive | Aatu Raty |
| Oct 23, 2025 | 2 | 01:23 | Defensive | Aatu Raty |