Scouting Report
Aatu Raty holds a +3.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Raty on defensive-zone draws (83% H2H, 6 meetings). Raty wins 59.2% vs left-shot opponents — O'Reilly shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Raty 58.4% vs O'Reilly 56.0% (+3.2%)
H2H factor
Raty leads 8-5 in 13 meetings
Offensive zone
O'Reilly 58.5%
Defensive zone
Raty 61.6%
Neutral zone
O'Reilly 53.8%
Result
Aatu Raty favored at 51.1%
51.1%
48.9%
Raty
O'Reilly
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
5
(13 meetings)
8
5
Raty
O'Reilly
Last 10: Raty 6-4 O'Reilly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
2
4
Raty
O'Reilly
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Raty
5
1
Raty
O'Reilly
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Raty
1
0
Raty
O'Reilly
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Raty
O'Reilly
Edge
Even Strength
58.3% (893)
56.2% (15,290)
+2.1%
Power Play
71.1% (38)
58.7% (3,457)
+12.4%
Penalty Kill
62.2% (111)
51.4% (2,826)
+10.8%
On power play, Raty has a +12.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
O'Reilly shoots left. Raty is 59.2% vs left-shot opponents (692).
Raty shoots left. O'Reilly is 56.2% vs left-shot opponents (13,901).
Home / Away
Raty
O'Reilly
Home
58.9% (569)
57.6% (10,799)
Away
59.6% (473)
54.4% (10,807)
By Period
Raty
O'Reilly
P1
58.8%
55.6%
P2
62.7%
57.0%
P3
56.4%
55.0%
OT
53.3%
62.2%
Final 5 min
61.8%
55.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Raty
56.0%▼
62.5%
59.2%
O'Reilly
54.0%▬
55.0%
56.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 12, 2026 | OT | 02:55 | Defensive | Aatu Raty |
| Mar 12, 2026 | 2 | 16:10 | Defensive | Aatu Raty |
| Mar 12, 2026 | 2 | 15:32 | Defensive | Aatu Raty |
| Mar 12, 2026 | 2 | 10:14 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Mar 12, 2026 | 2 | 08:05 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Nov 3, 2025 | 3 | 18:21 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Nov 3, 2025 | 3 | 15:47 | Defensive | Aatu Raty |
| Nov 3, 2025 | 1 | 14:45 | Neutral | Aatu Raty |
| Oct 23, 2025 | 3 | 19:50 | Offensive | Aatu Raty |
| Oct 23, 2025 | 3 | 10:23 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Oct 23, 2025 | 3 | 07:04 | Offensive | Aatu Raty |
| Oct 23, 2025 | 2 | 01:23 | Defensive | Aatu Raty |
| Nov 17, 2024 | 3 | 17:46 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |