Scouting Report
Aatu Raty holds a +7.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Couturier on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Raty wins 59.5% vs left-shot opponents — Couturier shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Raty 58.7% vs Couturier 52.6% (+7.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Couturier 56.1%
Defensive zone
Couturier 54.9%
Neutral zone
Couturier 55.1%
Result
Sean Couturier favored at 54.9%
45.1%
54.9%
Raty
Couturier
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
2
(4 meetings)
2
2
Raty
Couturier
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Couturier
1
2
Raty
Couturier
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Raty
1
0
Raty
Couturier
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Raty
Couturier
Edge
Even Strength
58.7% (905)
52.5% (11,097)
+6.2%
Power Play
71.1% (38)
59.7% (1,280)
+11.4%
Penalty Kill
62.8% (113)
48.5% (1,823)
+14.3%
On penalty kill, Raty has a +14.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Couturier shoots left. Raty is 59.5% vs left-shot opponents (698).
Raty shoots left. Couturier is 52.4% vs left-shot opponents (8,936).
Home / Away
Raty
Couturier
Home
58.9% (569)
53.4% (7,171)
Away
60.4% (487)
51.8% (7,036)
By Period
Raty
Couturier
P1
59.5%
52.6%
P2
62.8%
52.6%
P3
56.7%
52.9%
OT
53.3%
49.6%
Final 5 min
61.6%
53.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Raty
62.0%▼
64.5%
59.6%
Couturier
64.0%▲
56.0%
52.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 22, 2025 | 3 | 19:42 | Neutral | Aatu Raty |
| Dec 22, 2025 | 2 | 19:30 | Defensive | Aatu Raty |
| Oct 11, 2024 | 2 | 04:11 | Defensive | Sean Couturier |
| Oct 11, 2024 | 2 | 04:01 | Defensive | Sean Couturier |