Scouting Report
Aatu Raty holds a +10.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Raty on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Raty wins 60.3% vs left-shot opponents — Kuraly shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Raty 59.9% vs Kuraly 51.0% (+10.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Raty 85.6%
Defensive zone
Raty 66.7%
Neutral zone
Raty 73.4%
Result
Aatu Raty favored at 71.2%
71.2%
28.8%
Raty
Kuraly
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
2
(6 meetings)
4
2
Raty
Kuraly
Last 6: Raty 4-2 Kuraly
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Raty
Kuraly
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Raty
3
1
Raty
Kuraly
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Raty
Kuraly
Edge
Even Strength
60.5% (517)
52.6% (464)
+7.9%
Power Play
72.7% (22)
100.0% (1)
-27.3%
Penalty Kill
63.4% (101)
46.5% (155)
+16.9%
On power play, Kuraly has a +27.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kuraly shoots left. Raty is 60.3% vs left-shot opponents (441).
Raty shoots left. Kuraly is 54.3% vs left-shot opponents (385).
Home / Away
Raty
Kuraly
Home
60.2% (354)
55.9% (322)
Away
62.9% (286)
46.0% (298)
By Period
Raty
Kuraly
P1
56.9%
55.9%
P2
67.1%
46.7%
P3
59.5%
50.7%
OT
50.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
61.0%
50.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Raty
62.0%▼
64.5%
61.4%
Kuraly
66.0%▲
61.0%
51.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 3, 2026 | 3 | 07:06 | Neutral | Sean Kuraly |
| Jan 3, 2026 | 2 | 02:22 | Neutral | Aatu Raty |
| Dec 20, 2025 | 1 | 19:45 | Neutral | Aatu Raty |
| Dec 20, 2025 | 1 | 14:20 | Neutral | Aatu Raty |
| Dec 20, 2025 | 1 | 14:12 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Dec 20, 2025 | 1 | 09:33 | Defensive | Aatu Raty |