Scouting Report
Adam Burish holds a +8.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Burish on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Burish wins 57.8% vs right-shot opponents — Wheeler shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Burish 53.8% vs Wheeler 46.1% (+8.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Wheeler 63.6%
Defensive zone
Burish 93.3%
Neutral zone
Burish 79.3%
Result
Adam Burish favored at 62.1%
62.1%
37.9%
Burish
Wheeler
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Burish
Wheeler
Last 5: Burish 4-1 Wheeler
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Burish
Wheeler
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Burish
3
0
Burish
Wheeler
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Burish
Wheeler
Edge
Even Strength
54.6% (958)
46.7% (1,369)
+7.9%
Power Play
47.5% (40)
46.9% (207)
+0.6%
Penalty Kill
53.0% (270)
35.7% (129)
+17.3%
On penalty kill, Burish has a +17.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Wheeler shoots right. Burish is 57.8% vs right-shot opponents (327).
Burish shoots right. Wheeler is 40.3% vs right-shot opponents (533).
Home / Away
Burish
Wheeler
Home
58.1% (578)
47.5% (883)
Away
50.7% (698)
44.2% (822)
By Period
Burish
Wheeler
P1
53.0%
45.0%
P2
53.8%
48.2%
P3
55.8%
44.5%
OT
40.0%
37.5%
Final 5 min
57.5%
42.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Burish
52.0%▬
53.0%
54.1%
Wheeler
60.0%▲
53.0%
45.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 3, 2011 | 2 | 10:36 | Neutral | Adam Burish |
| Feb 3, 2011 | 2 | 03:29 | Offensive | Adam Burish |
| Feb 3, 2011 | 1 | 14:54 | Offensive | Blake Wheeler |
| Feb 3, 2011 | 1 | 00:02 | Neutral | Adam Burish |
| Feb 3, 2011 | 1 | 00:01 | Neutral | Adam Burish |