Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (54.1% vs 53.4%). Look for Richardson on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Burish 53.8% vs Richardson 53.4% (+0.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Burish 52.2%
Defensive zone
Burish 55.2%
Neutral zone
Burish 50.1%
Result
Adam Burish favored at 53.3%
53.3%
46.7%
Burish
Richardson
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
Burish
Richardson
Last 6: Burish 2-4 Richardson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Burish
Richardson
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Richardson
1
2
Burish
Richardson
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Richardson
0
1
Burish
Richardson
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Burish
Richardson
Edge
Even Strength
54.6% (958)
54.9% (5,037)
-0.3%
Power Play
47.5% (40)
56.8% (125)
-9.3%
Penalty Kill
53.0% (270)
45.9% (1,001)
+7.1%
On power play, Richardson has a +9.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Richardson shoots left. Burish is 52.8% vs left-shot opponents (949).
Burish shoots right. Richardson is 52.1% vs right-shot opponents (2,349).
Home / Away
Burish
Richardson
Home
58.1% (578)
53.6% (3,164)
Away
50.7% (698)
53.3% (3,003)
By Period
Burish
Richardson
P1
53.0%
52.3%
P2
53.8%
54.2%
P3
55.8%
53.5%
OT
40.0%
61.1%
Final 5 min
57.5%
55.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Burish
52.0%▬
53.0%
54.1%
Richardson
58.0%▬
58.0%
53.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 27, 2013 | 3 | 15:29 | Neutral | Brad Richardson |
| Apr 27, 2013 | 3 | 13:03 | Defensive | Adam Burish |
| Apr 27, 2013 | 2 | 01:57 | Defensive | Brad Richardson |
| Apr 27, 2013 | 1 | 18:46 | Defensive | Brad Richardson |
| Apr 27, 2013 | 1 | 15:21 | Offensive | Brad Richardson |
| Oct 27, 2011 | 1 | 03:56 | Offensive | Adam Burish |