Scouting Report
Adam Burish holds a +7.7% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Burish 53.8% vs Fraser 46.7% (+7.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Fraser 67.3%
Defensive zone
Burish 67.5%
Neutral zone
Fraser 53.1%
Result
Adam Burish favored at 60.6%
60.6%
39.4%
Burish
Fraser
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
3
(6 meetings)
3
3
Burish
Fraser
Last 6: Burish 3-3 Fraser
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Even
2
2
Burish
Fraser
4 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Burish
Fraser
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Burish
Fraser
Edge
Even Strength
54.6% (958)
48.0% (1,036)
+6.6%
Power Play
47.5% (40)
58.3% (36)
-10.8%
Penalty Kill
53.0% (270)
35.8% (187)
+17.2%
On penalty kill, Burish has a +17.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Fraser shoots left. Burish is 52.8% vs left-shot opponents (949).
Burish shoots right. Fraser is 49.3% vs right-shot opponents (383).
Home / Away
Burish
Fraser
Home
58.1% (578)
48.6% (661)
Away
50.7% (698)
44.0% (602)
By Period
Burish
Fraser
P1
53.0%
46.7%
P2
53.8%
46.4%
P3
55.8%
46.2%
OT
40.0%
33.3%
Final 5 min
57.5%
46.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Burish
52.0%▬
53.0%
54.1%
Fraser
44.0%▼
49.5%
46.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 16, 2013 | 2 | 01:27 | Neutral | Adam Burish |
| Mar 16, 2013 | 1 | 15:38 | Neutral | Colin Fraser |
| Mar 16, 2013 | 1 | 09:23 | Defensive | Colin Fraser |
| Jan 26, 2011 | 1 | 13:29 | Defensive | Adam Burish |
| Jan 26, 2011 | 1 | 06:15 | Defensive | Colin Fraser |
| Jan 11, 2011 | 1 | 04:39 | Defensive | Adam Burish |