Scouting Report
Tomas Hertl holds a +13.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Cracknell on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Cracknell wins 39.6% vs left-shot opponents — Hertl shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cracknell 41.6% vs Hertl 54.3% (-13.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hertl 72.1%
Defensive zone
Hertl 56.4%
Neutral zone
Hertl 56.4%
Result
Tomas Hertl favored at 61.6%
38.4%
61.6%
Cracknell
Hertl
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
3
(6 meetings)
3
3
Cracknell
Hertl
Last 6: Cracknell 3-3 Hertl
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Cracknell
Hertl
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Hertl
0
1
Cracknell
Hertl
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Cracknell
2
1
Cracknell
Hertl
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cracknell
Hertl
Edge
Even Strength
41.0% (863)
53.9% (8,303)
-12.9%
Power Play
50.0% (16)
59.2% (1,995)
-9.2%
Penalty Kill
30.4% (46)
46.3% (806)
-15.9%
On penalty kill, Hertl has a +15.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hertl shoots left. Cracknell is 39.6% vs left-shot opponents (609).
Cracknell shoots right. Hertl is 56.9% vs right-shot opponents (4,142).
Home / Away
Cracknell
Hertl
Home
42.1% (406)
55.8% (5,382)
Away
39.5% (519)
52.9% (5,722)
By Period
Cracknell
Hertl
P1
39.0%
53.6%
P2
40.8%
54.2%
P3
43.0%
55.3%
Final 5 min
36.5%
54.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cracknell
38.0%▼
43.5%
40.6%
Hertl
66.0%▲
61.0%
54.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 24, 2017 | 1 | 12:21 | Neutral | Adam Cracknell |
| Mar 24, 2017 | 1 | 12:10 | Neutral | Tomas Hertl |
| Mar 20, 2017 | 3 | 03:15 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Mar 12, 2017 | 3 | 01:50 | Offensive | Adam Cracknell |
| Mar 12, 2017 | 1 | 15:54 | Defensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Mar 12, 2017 | 1 | 12:54 | Neutral | Adam Cracknell |