Scouting Report
Adam Erne holds a +1.8% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Erne 51.1% vs Nylander 49.9% (+1.8%)
Offensive zone
Nylander 56.6%
Defensive zone
Erne 50.1%
Neutral zone
Nylander 53.3%
Result
William Nylander favored at 53.3%
46.7%
53.3%
Erne
Nylander
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Erne
Nylander
Edge
Even Strength
52.8% (180)
50.2% (1,874)
+2.6%
Power Play
37.5% (16)
46.7% (229)
-9.2%
Penalty Kill
53.8% (13)
54.8% (31)
-1.0%
On power play, Nylander has a +9.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nylander shoots right. Erne is 48.8% vs right-shot opponents (84).
Erne shoots left. Nylander is 50.1% vs left-shot opponents (1,523).
Home / Away
Erne
Nylander
Home
57.8% (109)
51.3% (1,186)
Away
45.0% (100)
48.1% (948)
By Period
Erne
Nylander
P1
59.0%
51.1%
P2
47.9%
45.6%
P3
45.3%
53.1%
OT
50.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
44.4%
46.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Erne
42.0%▼
51.5%
51.7%
Nylander
30.0%▼
42.5%
49.9%