Scouting Report
Adam Lowry holds a +4.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Fantilli on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Fantilli 49.6% vs Lowry 53.5% (-4.3%)
H2H factor
Fantilli leads 6-4 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Fantilli 72.6%
Defensive zone
Lowry 91.3%
Neutral zone
Lowry 65.3%
Result
Adam Lowry favored at 71.9%
28.1%
71.9%
Fantilli
Lowry
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
4
(10 meetings)
6
4
Fantilli
Lowry
Last 10: Fantilli 6-4 Lowry
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Lowry
0
1
Fantilli
Lowry
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lowry
1
3
Fantilli
Lowry
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Fantilli
5
0
Fantilli
Lowry
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Fantilli
Lowry
Edge
Even Strength
49.4% (887)
55.7% (707)
-6.3%
Power Play
51.4% (105)
85.7% (7)
-34.3%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (12)
39.0% (100)
+11.0%
On power play, Lowry has a +34.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Lowry shoots left. Fantilli is 47.5% vs left-shot opponents (657).
Fantilli shoots left. Lowry is 50.8% vs left-shot opponents (561).
Home / Away
Fantilli
Lowry
Home
50.7% (503)
54.3% (429)
Away
48.5% (501)
53.5% (385)
By Period
Fantilli
Lowry
P1
47.0%
53.1%
P2
52.5%
55.2%
P3
49.7%
54.4%
OT
33.3%
40.0%
Final 5 min
50.9%
57.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Fantilli
44.0%▼
46.5%
49.6%
Lowry
52.0%▼
53.5%
53.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 18, 2025 | 3 | 04:04 | Neutral | Adam Fantilli |
| Nov 18, 2025 | 2 | 15:30 | Neutral | Adam Fantilli |
| Nov 18, 2025 | 2 | 12:28 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Nov 18, 2025 | 2 | 05:46 | Offensive | Adam Lowry |
| Nov 18, 2025 | 2 | 01:12 | Neutral | Adam Fantilli |
| Nov 18, 2025 | 1 | 19:52 | Neutral | Adam Fantilli |
| Nov 18, 2025 | 1 | 19:46 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Nov 18, 2025 | 1 | 19:34 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Nov 18, 2025 | 1 | 13:45 | Defensive | Adam Fantilli |
| Nov 18, 2025 | 1 | 03:51 | Neutral | Adam Fantilli |