Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (49.6% vs 48.8%). Look for Cirelli on defensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Fantilli 49.6% vs Cirelli 48.9% (+0.8%)
H2H factor
Cirelli leads 7-5 in 12 meetings
Offensive zone
Fantilli 72.4%
Defensive zone
Cirelli 74.8%
Neutral zone
Cirelli 50.5%
Result
Anthony Cirelli favored at 53.0%
47.0%
53.0%
Fantilli
Cirelli
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
7
(12 meetings)
5
7
Fantilli
Cirelli
Last 10: Fantilli 3-7 Cirelli
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
2
2
Fantilli
Cirelli
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Cirelli
1
4
Fantilli
Cirelli
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Fantilli
2
1
Fantilli
Cirelli
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Fantilli
Cirelli
Edge
Even Strength
49.4% (887)
50.1% (668)
-0.7%
Power Play
51.4% (105)
68.9% (90)
-17.5%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (12)
36.7% (221)
+13.3%
On power play, Cirelli has a +17.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Cirelli shoots left. Fantilli is 47.5% vs left-shot opponents (657).
Fantilli shoots left. Cirelli is 49.5% vs left-shot opponents (655).
Home / Away
Fantilli
Cirelli
Home
50.7% (503)
53.0% (470)
Away
48.5% (501)
45.0% (509)
By Period
Fantilli
Cirelli
P1
47.0%
50.6%
P2
52.5%
49.2%
P3
49.7%
47.2%
OT
33.3%
30.8%
Final 5 min
50.9%
52.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Fantilli
44.0%▼
46.5%
49.6%
Cirelli
44.0%▼
49.5%
48.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 10, 2026 | 3 | 02:36 | Defensive | Anthony Cirelli |
| Mar 10, 2026 | 2 | 16:23 | Neutral | Adam Fantilli |
| Mar 10, 2026 | 2 | 16:21 | Offensive | Anthony Cirelli |
| Mar 10, 2026 | 2 | 10:05 | Defensive | Anthony Cirelli |
| Mar 10, 2026 | 2 | 07:43 | Defensive | Adam Fantilli |
| Mar 10, 2026 | 2 | 04:39 | Defensive | Anthony Cirelli |
| Mar 10, 2026 | 1 | 13:38 | Neutral | Anthony Cirelli |
| Mar 10, 2026 | 1 | 10:58 | Offensive | Adam Fantilli |
| Mar 10, 2026 | 1 | 07:19 | Defensive | Anthony Cirelli |
| Mar 10, 2026 | 1 | 03:31 | Offensive | Anthony Cirelli |
| Mar 10, 2026 | 1 | 00:36 | Offensive | Adam Fantilli |
| Jan 24, 2026 | 3 | 18:54 | Neutral | Adam Fantilli |