Scouting Report
Colton Sissons holds a +7.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Fantilli on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Fantilli wins 53.6% vs right-shot opponents — Sissons shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Fantilli 49.6% vs Sissons 55.8% (-7.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Sissons 58.6%
Defensive zone
Sissons 94.7%
Neutral zone
Sissons 77.2%
Result
Colton Sissons favored at 79.1%
20.9%
79.1%
Fantilli
Sissons
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
2
(8 meetings)
6
2
Fantilli
Sissons
Last 8: Fantilli 6-2 Sissons
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Fantilli
2
0
Fantilli
Sissons
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Fantilli
2
1
Fantilli
Sissons
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Fantilli
2
1
Fantilli
Sissons
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Fantilli
Sissons
Edge
Even Strength
49.4% (887)
57.6% (436)
-8.2%
Power Play
51.4% (105)
65.0% (20)
-13.6%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (12)
52.8% (123)
-2.8%
On power play, Sissons has a +13.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Sissons shoots right. Fantilli is 53.6% vs right-shot opponents (347).
Fantilli shoots left. Sissons is 54.8% vs left-shot opponents (407).
Home / Away
Fantilli
Sissons
Home
50.7% (503)
53.3% (274)
Away
48.5% (501)
60.0% (305)
By Period
Fantilli
Sissons
P1
47.0%
55.7%
P2
52.5%
58.3%
P3
49.7%
56.4%
OT
33.3%
0.0%
Final 5 min
50.9%
54.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Fantilli
44.0%▼
46.5%
49.6%
Sissons
64.0%▲
60.0%
56.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 8, 2026 | 3 | 12:36 | Defensive | Colton Sissons |
| Jan 8, 2026 | 1 | 09:33 | Offensive | Adam Fantilli |
| Dec 13, 2025 | 3 | 04:49 | Neutral | Colton Sissons |
| Dec 13, 2025 | 2 | 16:36 | Defensive | Adam Fantilli |
| Dec 13, 2025 | 2 | 12:28 | Defensive | Adam Fantilli |
| Dec 13, 2025 | 2 | 04:49 | Offensive | Adam Fantilli |
| Dec 13, 2025 | 2 | 00:41 | Neutral | Adam Fantilli |
| Dec 13, 2025 | 1 | 10:14 | Neutral | Adam Fantilli |