Scouting Report
J.T. Compher holds a +2.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Compher on defensive-zone draws (69% H2H, 13 meetings). Fantilli wins 46.7% vs right-shot opponents — Compher shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Fantilli 45.3% vs Compher 47.8% (-2.7%)
H2H factor
Compher leads 18-12 in 30 meetings
Offensive zone
Fantilli 81.2%
Defensive zone
Compher 68.2%
Neutral zone
Fantilli 60.8%
Result
Adam Fantilli favored at 55.0%
55.0%
45.0%
Fantilli
Compher
Head-to-Head Record
12
-
18
(30 meetings)
12
18
Fantilli
Compher
Last 10: Fantilli 3-7 Compher
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Fantilli
7
3
Fantilli
Compher
10 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Compher
4
9
Fantilli
Compher
13 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Compher
1
6
Fantilli
Compher
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Fantilli
Compher
Edge
Even Strength
44.7% (2,179)
48.6% (5,743)
-3.9%
Power Play
51.4% (210)
52.6% (682)
-1.2%
Penalty Kill
30.8% (26)
41.9% (1,426)
-11.1%
On penalty kill, Compher has a +11.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Compher shoots right. Fantilli is 46.7% vs right-shot opponents (811).
Fantilli shoots left. Compher is 47.2% vs left-shot opponents (5,651).
Home / Away
Fantilli
Compher
Home
47.3% (1,209)
49.0% (3,917)
Away
42.9% (1,206)
46.6% (3,934)
By Period
Fantilli
Compher
P1
43.8%
49.0%
P2
46.3%
47.2%
P3
45.9%
47.4%
OT
25.8%
40.2%
Final 5 min
43.9%
46.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Fantilli
44.0%▼
46.5%
45.1%
Compher
50.0%▼
52.0%
47.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 4, 2025 | 3 | 10:25 | Offensive | Adam Fantilli |
| Dec 4, 2025 | 2 | 19:13 | Defensive | J.T. Compher |
| Dec 4, 2025 | 2 | 18:58 | Defensive | J.T. Compher |
| Dec 4, 2025 | 2 | 14:47 | Defensive | J.T. Compher |
| Dec 4, 2025 | 2 | 10:20 | Neutral | J.T. Compher |
| Dec 4, 2025 | 2 | 05:18 | Neutral | J.T. Compher |
| Dec 4, 2025 | 2 | 01:09 | Neutral | J.T. Compher |
| Dec 4, 2025 | 1 | 09:30 | Offensive | Adam Fantilli |
| Dec 4, 2025 | 1 | 09:12 | Offensive | Adam Fantilli |
| Nov 22, 2025 | OT | 00:55 | Defensive | J.T. Compher |
| Nov 22, 2025 | 3 | 05:09 | Defensive | J.T. Compher |
| Nov 22, 2025 | 3 | 02:58 | Neutral | Adam Fantilli |
| Mar 1, 2025 | 3 | 17:16 | Defensive | Adam Fantilli |
| Mar 1, 2025 | 2 | 17:15 | Offensive | Adam Fantilli |
| Mar 1, 2025 | 1 | 17:42 | Defensive | Adam Fantilli |
| Mar 1, 2025 | 1 | 13:59 | Defensive | Adam Fantilli |
| Feb 27, 2025 | 3 | 15:07 | Offensive | J.T. Compher |
| Feb 27, 2025 | 3 | 10:33 | Offensive | Adam Fantilli |
| Feb 27, 2025 | 3 | 04:38 | Offensive | Adam Fantilli |
| Feb 27, 2025 | 2 | 19:47 | Defensive | Adam Fantilli |