Scouting Report
Kyle MacLean holds a +2.5% FO% edge overall. Look for MacLean on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Fantilli wins 44.3% vs left-shot opponents — MacLean shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Fantilli 45.3% vs MacLean 47.9% (-2.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Fantilli 82.8%
Defensive zone
Fantilli 51.0%
Neutral zone
Fantilli 62.2%
Result
Adam Fantilli favored at 74.5%
74.5%
25.5%
Fantilli
MacLean
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Fantilli
MacLean
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: MacLean
0
3
Fantilli
MacLean
3 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Fantilli
MacLean
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Fantilli
MacLean
Edge
Even Strength
44.7% (2,179)
47.2% (852)
-2.5%
Power Play
51.4% (210)
62.5% (8)
-11.1%
Penalty Kill
30.8% (26)
56.7% (30)
-25.9%
On penalty kill, MacLean has a +25.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
MacLean shoots left. Fantilli is 44.3% vs left-shot opponents (1,604).
Fantilli shoots left. MacLean is 46.3% vs left-shot opponents (572).
Home / Away
Fantilli
MacLean
Home
47.3% (1,209)
46.9% (429)
Away
42.9% (1,206)
48.4% (461)
By Period
Fantilli
MacLean
P1
43.8%
46.4%
P2
46.3%
49.7%
P3
45.9%
46.5%
Final 5 min
43.9%
54.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Fantilli
44.0%▼
46.5%
45.1%
MacLean
54.0%▼
56.5%
47.6%