Scouting Report
Adam Fantilli holds a +7.9% FO% edge overall. Fantilli wins 42.2% vs right-shot opponents — Stone shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Fantilli 42.0% vs Stone 47.8% (+7.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Fantilli 52.2%
Defensive zone
Stone 51.1%
Neutral zone
Stone 51.2%
Result
Mark Stone favored at 51.2%
48.8%
51.2%
Fantilli
Stone
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Fantilli
Stone
Zone Breakdown
Neutral Zone
Edge: Fantilli
1
0
Fantilli
Stone
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Fantilli
Stone
Edge
Even Strength
40.7% (934)
33.3% (15)
+7.4%
On even strength, Fantilli has a +7.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stone shoots right. Fantilli is 42.2% vs right-shot opponents (332).
Fantilli shoots left. Stone is 30.8% vs left-shot opponents (13).
Home / Away
Fantilli
Stone
Home
44.1% (488)
57.1% (7)
Away
38.6% (531)
12.5% (8)
By Period
Fantilli
Stone
P1
42.0%
36.4%
P2
43.0%
100.0%
P3
39.3%
0.0%
Final 5 min
38.3%
0.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Fantilli
58.0%▲
51.0%
41.2%
Stone
32.0%▼
38.5%
33.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 30, 2025 | 1 | 00:06 | Neutral | Adam Fantilli |