Scouting Report
Mason McTavish holds a +9.5% FO% edge overall. Look for McTavish on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Fantilli wins 40.8% vs left-shot opponents — McTavish shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Fantilli 42.0% vs McTavish 50.6% (-9.5%)
H2H factor
McTavish leads 8-4 in 12 meetings
Offensive zone
Fantilli 64.3%
Defensive zone
Fantilli 70.1%
Neutral zone
Fantilli 71.4%
Result
Adam Fantilli favored at 68.6%
68.6%
31.4%
Fantilli
McTavish
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
8
(12 meetings)
4
8
Fantilli
McTavish
Last 10: Fantilli 2-8 McTavish
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: McTavish
1
3
Fantilli
McTavish
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: McTavish
0
4
Fantilli
McTavish
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Fantilli
3
1
Fantilli
McTavish
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Fantilli
McTavish
Edge
Even Strength
40.7% (934)
51.1% (769)
-10.4%
Power Play
52.1% (73)
50.6% (178)
+1.5%
Penalty Kill
16.7% (12)
28.6% (14)
-11.9%
On penalty kill, McTavish has a +11.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McTavish shoots left. Fantilli is 40.8% vs left-shot opponents (687).
Fantilli shoots left. McTavish is 49.9% vs left-shot opponents (665).
Home / Away
Fantilli
McTavish
Home
44.1% (488)
52.3% (461)
Away
38.6% (531)
49.2% (500)
By Period
Fantilli
McTavish
P1
42.0%
51.5%
P2
43.0%
54.0%
P3
39.3%
47.1%
OT
11.1%
50.0%
Final 5 min
38.3%
51.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Fantilli
58.0%▲
51.0%
41.2%
McTavish
48.0%▼
51.5%
50.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 14, 2024 | 3 | 18:31 | Offensive | Mason McTavish |
| Dec 14, 2024 | 3 | 18:12 | Neutral | Mason McTavish |
| Dec 14, 2024 | 3 | 09:37 | Offensive | Adam Fantilli |
| Dec 14, 2024 | 3 | 09:17 | Offensive | Mason McTavish |
| Dec 14, 2024 | 3 | 02:58 | Defensive | Mason McTavish |
| Dec 14, 2024 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Adam Fantilli |
| Dec 14, 2024 | 2 | 19:45 | Offensive | Mason McTavish |
| Dec 14, 2024 | 2 | 16:50 | Defensive | Mason McTavish |
| Dec 14, 2024 | 2 | 00:21 | Defensive | Mason McTavish |
| Dec 14, 2024 | 2 | 00:16 | Defensive | Mason McTavish |
| Dec 14, 2024 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Adam Fantilli |
| Dec 14, 2024 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Adam Fantilli |