Scouting Report
Mika Zibanejad holds a +10.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Zibanejad on defensive-zone draws (78% H2H, 9 meetings). Fantilli wins 42.2% vs right-shot opponents — Zibanejad shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Fantilli 42.0% vs Zibanejad 51.8% (-10.8%)
H2H factor
Zibanejad leads 15-8 in 23 meetings
Result
Mika Zibanejad favored at 61.4%
38.6%
61.4%
Fantilli
Zibanejad
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
15
(23 meetings)
8
15
Fantilli
Zibanejad
Last 10: Fantilli 4-6 Zibanejad
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
2
2
Fantilli
Zibanejad
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Zibanejad
2
7
Fantilli
Zibanejad
9 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Zibanejad
4
6
Fantilli
Zibanejad
10 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Fantilli
Zibanejad
Edge
Even Strength
40.7% (934)
52.9% (870)
-12.2%
Power Play
52.1% (73)
53.5% (43)
-1.4%
Penalty Kill
16.7% (12)
46.2% (143)
-29.5%
On penalty kill, Zibanejad has a +29.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zibanejad shoots right. Fantilli is 42.2% vs right-shot opponents (332).
Fantilli shoots left. Zibanejad is 52.1% vs left-shot opponents (748).
Home / Away
Fantilli
Zibanejad
Home
44.1% (488)
55.1% (501)
Away
38.6% (531)
49.2% (555)
By Period
Fantilli
Zibanejad
P1
42.0%
57.5%
P2
43.0%
50.7%
P3
39.3%
47.9%
OT
11.1%
66.7%
Final 5 min
38.3%
50.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Fantilli
58.0%▲
51.0%
41.2%
Zibanejad
46.0%▼
54.0%
52.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 15, 2025 | 3 | 16:41 | Neutral | Mika Zibanejad |
| Mar 15, 2025 | 2 | 19:37 | Defensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Mar 9, 2025 | 2 | 08:54 | Defensive | Adam Fantilli |
| Mar 9, 2025 | 1 | 17:07 | Neutral | Mika Zibanejad |
| Mar 9, 2025 | 1 | 00:53 | Defensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Feb 8, 2025 | 3 | 16:14 | Neutral | Mika Zibanejad |
| Feb 8, 2025 | 3 | 00:55 | Offensive | Adam Fantilli |
| Feb 8, 2025 | 2 | 17:52 | Defensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Feb 8, 2025 | 2 | 14:33 | Neutral | Adam Fantilli |
| Feb 8, 2025 | 2 | 10:19 | Defensive | Adam Fantilli |
| Feb 8, 2025 | 1 | 16:53 | Neutral | Mika Zibanejad |
| Feb 8, 2025 | 1 | 08:43 | Defensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Jan 18, 2025 | 3 | 07:22 | Offensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Jan 18, 2025 | 3 | 07:08 | Offensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Jan 18, 2025 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mika Zibanejad |
| Jan 18, 2025 | 2 | 18:04 | Defensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Jan 18, 2025 | 2 | 13:30 | Defensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Jan 18, 2025 | 2 | 07:42 | Offensive | Adam Fantilli |
| Jan 18, 2025 | 2 | 07:19 | Neutral | Adam Fantilli |
| Jan 18, 2025 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mika Zibanejad |